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The latest Bet Better model pick for Quentin Grimes is Over 9.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +20.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:56AM UTC
NBA

Quentin Grimes

Philadelphia 76ers

+20.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 9.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
+20.6% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
51.0%
Model Edge
+20.6%
Predicted Value
12.8 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points71.7%—51.0%1.40+20.6%

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AI Analysis

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Quentin Grimes (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 9.5 Points (-104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for Friday's clash between the Houston Rockets and the Philadelphia 76ers, there's a compelling case to back Quentin Grimes to go over 9.5 points. With the Rockets on the road, Grimes has been lighting it up lately, averaging 12.2 points in his last five away games. But what's really striking is his performance against the Sixers; he's dropped an impressive 27.3 points per game in their last encounters. The numbers don't lie: Grimes has hit the over in 14 of his last 17 games and boasts a staggering 80% success rate away from home in his last 10 outings. With an expected stat value of 12.82, it feels like a prime opportunity for Grimes to elevate his game. Given the matchup and his recent form, betting on him to clear 9.5 points seems like a smart move for this contest.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
3.1avg · last 10
L53.2Szn2.2Home1.9Away2.4Best8
1+81%
2+60%
3+39%
4+19%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 3.1 · hi 6 · lo 0
4343136430

Quentin Grimes is averaging 3.1 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.2, best 8). He clears 2+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
5.7avg · last 10
L55.8Szn3.0Home3.0Away3.1Best10
1+83%
3+56%
5+27%
7+5%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 5.7 · hi 10 · lo 2
106435102674

Quentin Grimes is averaging 5.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.0, best 10). He clears 3+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
22.0avg · last 10
L521.2Szn14.6Home12.7Away16.3Best46
5+84%
10+63%
15+40%
20+31%
25+21%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 22 · hi 29 · lo 8
2526221526242829178

Quentin Grimes is averaging 22.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.6, best 46). He clears 15+ in 40% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
27.7avg · last 10
L527.0Szn17.6Home15.7Away19.4Best50
8+80%
13+63%
18+40%
23+31%
28+24%
Game log vs O 17.5avg 27.7 · hi 35 · lo 12
35322618313430352412

Quentin Grimes is averaging 27.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.6, best 50). He clears 18+ in 40% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
27.0avg · last 10
L527.6Szn18.9Home16.9Away20.7Best59
9+81%
14+64%
19+45%
24+32%
29+19%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 27 · hi 37 · lo 15
27312519302731372815

Quentin Grimes is averaging 27.0 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.9, best 59). He clears 19+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
32.7avg · last 10
L533.4Szn21.9Home19.9Away23.8Best63
12+80%
17+64%
22+45%
27+35%
32+25%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 32.7 · hi 43 · lo 19
37372922353733433519

Quentin Grimes is averaging 32.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 21.9, best 63). He clears 22+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
10.7avg · last 10
L512.2Szn7.4Home7.2Away7.5Best18
1+97%
4+81%
7+63%
10+28%
13+11%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 10.7 · hi 18 · lo 5
1211779135141811

Quentin Grimes is averaging 10.7 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.4, best 18). He clears 7+ in 63% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Quentin Grimes (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quentin Grimes is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets on Friday 10 April at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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