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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
Houston Astros

St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 26, 6:40PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Minute Maid Park, Houston
Indoor
Sun 19 Apr 2026, 6:10PM
14
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals 1 Spread -122

The model graded 14 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $182 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Apr 2026, 6:10PM at Minute Maid Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win62.9%
The price says54.9%
Best price-122
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread St. Louis Cardinals 1 High63% chance -122
Moneyline Lean53% chance
Spread Long-shot31% chance
Spread Long-shot40% chance
Spread Long-shot35% chance
Spread Long-shot23% chance
Spread Lean44% chance
Spread Long-shot27% chance
Spread Long-shot20% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 933 of 1,879 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 26
Under 4.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $440
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
St. Louis Cardinals
+4.5
+ 13 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Andre Pallante SPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Matthew Liberatore SP

Houston Astros

  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ethan Pecko SP
Availability updated Aug 25, 11:45PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineHouston AstrosNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2Free board14-11

Houston Astros moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineHouston Astros run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2Free board15-12

Houston Astros spread form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Houston Astros total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
2.5runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L52-3vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.2 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros — 14 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

14
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 13 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros — recent results

Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–7NYYAway
L6–7ATHHome
W4–0ATHHome
L3–4ATHHome
L3–18LAAHome
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–13BALHome
L4–6PHIAway
L3–12PHIAway
L6–7PHIAway
W10–9CINAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Houston Astros won 1, St. Louis Cardinals won 8.

DateHouston AstrosSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Apr 1957St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 1849St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 1857St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 2223St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 1814St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 1345St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 9103Houston Astros
Feb 2649St. Louis Cardinals
Feb 2256St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

9 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Andre Pallante SPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Houston Astros vs St. Louis Cardinals. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Houston Astros vs St. Louis Cardinals stats and odds.

Houston Astros vs St. Louis Cardinals : St. Louis Cardinals +1 (-122)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Cardinals roll into Houston, they’re riding a wave of momentum that could catch even the most seasoned opponents off guard. Over the last stretch, St. Louis has showcased a potent offense, averaging 5.6 runs per game while their bats have come alive against right-handers—exactly the type of pitching they’ll face today. Meanwhile, the Astros have been vulnerable at home, struggling to keep opposing teams at bay, especially when the stakes are high. On the mound, the Cardinals’ starter has been a revelation, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could stymie Houston’s lineup. Coupled with their recent success on the road, where they've taken crucial games against tough competition, the Cardinals seem poised to not only cover the run line but potentially seize a victory outright. Taking St. Louis with a one-run cushion feels like a smart play, given the stakes and their current form.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs Houston Astros in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Astros, or as Astros vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 April 2026 at Minute Maid Park. The model has generated 14 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 8 meetings
St. Louis Cardinals 7–1 across the last 8 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros5–7St. Louis Cardinals
18 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros4–9St. Louis Cardinals
18 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros5–7St. Louis Cardinals
22 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros2–3St. Louis Cardinals
18 Mar 2026Houston Astros @ St. Louis Cardinals4–1St. Louis Cardinals
13 Mar 2026Houston Astros @ St. Louis Cardinals5–4St. Louis Cardinals
9 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Houston Astros10–3Houston Astros
26 Feb 2026Houston Astros @ St. Louis Cardinals9–4St. Louis Cardinals
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