On July 30, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 2 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Lawrence Butler Under 4.5 Total Bases (-238), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.
The props we like today
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Dodgers host the Mariners, all eyes should be on Dominic Canzone, who’s been quietly impressive at the plate lately. With the Mariners in a crucial stretch of the season, Canzone has stepped up, consistently finding ways to get on base. He’s been particularly effective against right-handed pitchers, and with the Dodgers expected to trot out one of their more vulnerable options, this could be a prime opportunity. Canzone's recent form has shown he’s more than capable of getting at least one hit in this matchup, especially against a Dodgers bullpen that, while formidable, has shown occasional cracks. The Mariners' lineup has been heating up, and with Canzone riding a wave of momentum, I can easily see him pushing past that half-hit mark. With a solid 29.6% edge on this bet, it’s hard to ignore the value here. Betting the over on his hits feels like a savvy play today.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Athletics gear up to take on the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Andruw Monasterio. While the young infielder has shown flashes of promise, his recent form suggests a quieter evening at the plate. Over the last week, Monasterio has struggled, hitting just.195 with minimal power—a trend that could be amplified facing a well-rounded Boston pitching staff. The Red Sox, notorious for their ability to stymie opposing hitters, will likely deploy a mix of savvy arms that can exploit Monasterio’s weaknesses. Moreover, with Oakland’s offense ranking near the bottom in terms of runs scored, opportunities may be scarce. Given these dynamics, banking on Monasterio to exceed 2.5 hits, runs, or RBIs seems overly ambitious. With a model predicting just 1.24, the under is a compelling play, especially when considering the recent trends aligned against him.
Dominic Canzone (SEA) Over 0.5 Hits (+140)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Dodgers host the Mariners on July 31, keep a close eye on Dominic Canzone. This young hitter has been quietly making waves, demonstrating a knack for getting on base in pressure situations. With the Mariners facing a potent Dodgers lineup, Canzone will likely get ample opportunities against a pitching staff that, while strong, has shown cracks lately. His recent form is hard to overlook—Canzone has consistently put the ball in play, and he’s capitalizing on his chances. Not only has he been effective against right-handers, but he's also shown resilience in high-stakes games, making him a prime candidate to register at least one hit. With the Dodgers’ keen eye for pitching matchups, and Canzone’s upward trajectory, betting on him to go over 0.5 hits feels like a compelling play. He’s poised to contribute meaningfully, making this a spot worth backing.
Lawrence Butler Under 4.5 Total Bases (-238)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Athletics prepare to face the Red Sox, it's worth considering Lawrence Butler's recent struggles at the plate, which makes the 'Under 4.5 total bases' an intriguing bet. Butler has faced some tough pitching lately, and with Boston's starter boasting a solid strikeout rate, he may find himself challenged. The A’s lineup has been inconsistent, and Butler’s recent performance reflects that, limiting his opportunities to rack up bases. Additionally, the Red Sox bullpen has been nothing short of dominant in high-pressure situations, further tightening the screws on opposing hitters. While Butler has shown flashes of potential earlier in the season, the current dynamics suggest he’s likely to fall short of that total. With the odds favoring the 'Under' significantly, it feels like a smart play to bet against him exceeding 4.5 total bases in this matchup.
Lawrence Butler Under 3.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-185)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As we look ahead to the Athletics' clash with the Red Sox, Lawrence Butler's offensive performance might be worth scrutinizing. With Butler currently sitting at a pivotal moment in his season, he’s been mired in a slump that’s seen him struggle to find consistency at the plate. Over the last week, he’s managed a mere couple of hits, which doesn’t bode well against a Boston pitching staff that has been tightening up its game, boasting a solid ERA in recent outings. Moreover, Butler's matchup against Boston’s likely starter shows he’s historically fared poorly, with a low batting average and minimal hard contact against similar pitchers. Add in the fact that the Athletics have been scuffling offensively, and it’s reasonable to expect Butler to come in under 3.5 hits, runs, and RBIs tonight. In this contest, betting the under on Butler feels like a smart play as the pressure mounts and he battles to break out.
Freddie Freeman (ATL) Under 2.5 Singles (-238)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Dodgers host the Mariners, all eyes will be on Freddie Freeman’s performance at the plate. While Freeman has been a stalwart for Los Angeles, recent trends suggest a quieter night may be in store for him. Against Seattle's right-handed pitcher, who thrives on limiting hits, Freeman’s power may be neutralized. In his last ten games, Freeman has averaged just 1.5 singles per contest, showing a dip in consistency. The Mariners’ pitching staff has been stellar lately, allowing the fewest hits in the league over the past month. Moreover, Freeman's tendency to chase pitches outside the zone could play right into the Mariners' strengths. With the line set at 2.5 singles, it seems prudent to take the "Under." Given the current form and matchup dynamics, it’s shaping up to be a night where Freeman's bat may not find as much success as usual.
That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
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