MLB 7-leg parlay picks for August 1, 2026

As the Padres host the Giants this Sunday, all eyes should be on Luis Rengifo when it comes to stolen bases. Rengifo, while a skilled base runner, has been more of a singles hitter lately. With the Giants’ strong pitching and solid defense, the opportunities for him to swipe a bag become limited. San Francisco boasts a top-tier catcher's arm, and their recent trend shows a knack for shutting down base runners. Rengifo’s recent attempts to steal have dwindled, and in matchups against teams with strong catchers like Austin Wynns, he’s only attempted a steal once in the last five games. Given these factors, taking the 'Under 1.5' on Rengifo’s stolen bases feels like a smart play, aligning with the prevailing trends and the current defensive prowess of the Giants. It's a savvy bet that leans heavily on recent performance and matchup dynamics.

Jonah Heim (TEX) Under 1.5 Walks (-556)

As the Athletics prepare to host the Tigers, all eyes should be on Jonah Heim and his ability to draw walks. Recent trends have shown Heim struggling to get on base via the free pass, with his walk rate dipping significantly in the last month. In fact, he’s averaging just one walk every five games, making an under bet on his total walks quite enticing. Facing Detroit’s starter, who tends to keep hitters off balance with his command, Heim might find it tough to earn those elusive walks. The Tigers' bullpen is also tough on lefties, which plays into Heim's struggles. With a model predicting him to finish with just 0.07 walks today, the under 1.5 feels like a wise play. Given the implied probability hovering around 84.7%, this matchup could very well see Heim staying aggressive at the plate, but not walking away with any free passes.

Alan Roden Under 1.5 Walks (-909)

As the Mariners host the Twins, all eyes will be on Alan Roden, particularly in the batter walks department. Roden has been rather restrained at the plate lately, averaging less than one walk per game. With the Mariners facing a formidable Twins pitching staff led by a right-hander who excels at controlling the game, the chances of Roden drawing a free pass look slim. The Twins’ pitchers have been adept at limiting walks, sporting one of the lowest rates in the league. Add to that Roden's tendency to swing early in counts, and it’s hard to see him walking more than once here. With the Mariners fighting for every run in a tightly contested matchup, it'll be a battle of aggression versus patience. The trend heavily favors the under on Roden’s walks, with the odds leaning towards a strong likelihood of him finishing the game with zero or one walk.

Andy Pages Under 1.5 Walks (-500)

As the Dodgers and Red Sox square off, keep an eye on Andy Pages when considering the 'Under 1.5' walks. Pages has shown a propensity to be aggressive at the plate, swinging early in counts rather than waiting for his pitch. Over the last month, he’s averaged just a walk every 12 plate appearances, a stark contrast to the free-swinging tendencies of many in the lineup. The Red Sox's pitching staff, while formidable, has been particularly adept at limiting walks, ranking among the top teams in the league with a walk rate around 7%. With the pressure of facing a playoff-contending team like the Dodgers, expect Pages to be more focused on making contact than drawing walks. Given recent trends and the matchup dynamics, betting on him to stay under 1.5 walks feels like a savvy move as both teams battle it out in what promises to be a competitive series.

Caleb Durbin (BOS) Under 1.5 Walks (-588)

As the Dodgers host the Red Sox on Sunday, all eyes will be on Caleb Durbin, particularly when it comes to his plate discipline. While he’s shown flashes of potential, the statistics tell a different tale. He’s been walking less frequently against right-handed pitching, and today’s matchup pits him against a solid righty who’s mastered the art of keeping hitters off balance. The Dodgers' pitching staff is notorious for its ability to limit free passes, and they’ve been especially stingy lately, with an outstanding ability to command the zone. Durbin's recent trends reflect a decline in his walk rate, and given the Dodgers' sharp focus on minimizing walks, it feels likely he won’t see enough opportunities to push past that 1.5 mark. With the implied probability leaning heavily towards the under, it’s a compelling angle to consider. Buckle up for a strategic showdown!

Luis Campusano Under 2.5 Singles (-312)

As we look at Sunday’s showdown between the Padres and Giants, Luis Campusano's recent performance paints a picture favoring the 'Under' on his batter singles. Let’s consider the context: the Giants’ pitching staff has been on a tear, boasting a stingy WHIP that reflects their ability to stifle opposing hitters. Campusano's bat has cooled lately, with a noticeable dip in his hit rate. Facing the likes of Logan Webb, who thrives on keeping the ball down and inducing weak contact, it’s hard to see Campusano finding consistent success. With his recent stats indicating a sharp decline in hard-hit balls, the likelihood of him tallying three singles feels ambitious. Moreover, the Padres have struggled to string together hits against strong pitching, underscoring the challenge Campusano will face. Given the trends and matchups, betting the 'Under 2.5' singles seems wisely aligned with the current dynamics on the field.

Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Walks (-556)

As the Dodgers gear up to host the Red Sox on Sunday, all eyes will be on Nick Sogard and his ability to draw walks. However, considering recent trends, betting the under on Sogard’s walks at 1.5 feels like the smart move. Sogard has shown a reluctance to take pitches, with his walk rate hovering around 6% this season. Combine that with the formidable Dodgers pitching staff, which strikes out 27% of batters faced, and you have a recipe for a low walk game. The pressure of pitching against a playoff-contending team like the Dodgers can rattle even the most patient hitters. Given that Sogard has only managed more than one walk in a game once in his last ten outings, expecting him to draw two against this elite lineup seems overly optimistic. The under 1.5 walks aligns well with these trends, making it a tantalizing opportunity for savvy bettors.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.