On Thursday 1 October 2026, Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 2.5 Receptions, priced at +104 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 2.5 Receptions (+104)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Under 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at +104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

James Cook (BUF) Under 6.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is James Cook (BUF) Under 6.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Mack Hollins (NE) Under 3.5 Receptions (-118)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Mack Hollins (NE) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots: Buffalo Bills (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Buffalo Bills. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots: New England Patriots (+106)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is New England Patriots. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots: Under (+102)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Under. It was priced at +102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article