On September 12, 2026 our model has run Adelaide Crows at Brisbane Lions and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Adelaide Crows 18.5 Spread (-111), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Adelaide Crows 18.5 Spread (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions have been really strong at home, winning most of their games by over 24 points. However, the Adelaide Crows have been on a roll lately, winning seven out of their last ten matches. This makes the matchup a bit tricky, especially since the Crows are known to fight hard in contested situations, winning more of those battles per game. Betting on the Crows to stay within 18.5 points is worth considering. They've been scoring well and have a good chance to keep it competitive. The biggest risk here is that the Lions usually perform well at Gabba, making it tough for any away team. Still, the Crows' recent form gives them a solid shot to cover that spread.

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Adelaide Crows Head to Head (+214)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions have been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games. However, the Adelaide Crows also have a strong record, winning 7 of their last 10. The Crows have been tough on contested possessions, winning by an average of over 8 a game lately, which shows they can really compete in close matches. The Crows have a solid defense, conceding only 78.3 points per match in their last 12 games. While the Lions have been scoring well, there's a real chance for the Crows to pull off an upset here, especially as the odds are in their favor. The biggest risk is how well the Lions play at home, but the Crows are capable of challenging them.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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