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Noah Answerth

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Noah Answerth (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: over 9.5 disposals that pays $154 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
13.7 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.3% · before adjusting for past results 82.0% · the book's price implies 64.9% · gap -3.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Noah Answerth
over 9.5 disposals
Disposals Over 9.5 -185 (1.54) · $100→$154
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.40 Odds-185
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Noah Answerth is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 6:40PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 24°C (May 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.0%61.3%64.9%1.63+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Noah Answerth Over 9.5 Disposals (-185)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Noah Answerth needs to get more than 9.5 disposals tonight for this bet to win. He has been performing well, and the numbers suggest he is likely to hit that mark. Fremantle has been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, while Answerth's team, the Brisbane Lions, has also been strong, winning 9 out of 10. Both teams have shown they can score a lot, so there should be plenty of opportunities for Answerth to get his hands on the ball. One thing to consider is that the match-up is quite close, with both teams coming off solid performances. However, with Fremantle averaging almost 45 points before half-time, there should be enough action for Answerth to meet or exceed the target. Overall, it looks like a great chance for him to get those disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Noah Answerth averaged 12.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

12.3
Disposals
0.0
Goals
3.4
Marks
4.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Noah Answerth recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans15063
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats20088
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS130211
7 Sep 24Carlton6026
24 Aug 24Essendon18034
14 Jun 24St Kilda4020
7 Jun 24Western Bulldogs2002
26 May 24Hawthorn12033
18 May 24Richmond11033
5 May 24Gold Coast SUNS0000
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Noah Answerth (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Answerth is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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