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The latest Bet Better model pick for Noah Answerth is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 24, 2:33PM UTC
AFL

Noah Answerth

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Noah Answerth (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: Marks Over 2.5 that pays $139 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 4:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 24°C (May 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
4.4 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.0% · before adjusting for past results 76.7% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap -7.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks76.7%64.0%71.9%1.56+4.8%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Noah Answerth Over 2.5 Marks (-256)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Noah Answerth needs to grab over 2.5 marks for this bet to win tonight. He's been showing some solid form lately, and our numbers think he has a good chance to hit this mark based on his recent performances. He's been averaging a lot more than usual, with one game seeing him get 1 mark when the average is usually much lower. The Brisbane Lions are facing Fremantle Dockers, and they're both competitive teams. The risk here is that it might be a close game, and sometimes players can get less time with the ball when the pressure's on. Still, given Answerth's recent stats, he seems likely to meet this target.

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Pick History & Track Record

Noah Answerth's lines for Sat 26 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Marks 2.5

Noah Answerth's marks line is 2.5.

Disposals 9.5

Noah Answerth's disposals line is 9.5.

Season averages (2024)

Noah Answerth averaged 12.3 disposals, 0.0 goals and 3.4 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

12.3
Disposals
0.0
Goals
3.4
Marks
4.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Noah Answerth recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans15063
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats20088
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS130211
7 Sep 24Carlton6026
24 Aug 24Essendon18034
14 Jun 24St Kilda4020
7 Jun 24Western Bulldogs2002
26 May 24Hawthorn12033
18 May 24Richmond11033
5 May 24Gold Coast SUNS0000
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Noah Answerth (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Answerth is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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