Josh Lowe (NA) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels gear up to face the Astros, all eyes will be on Josh Lowe's wheels—but betting on him to steal more than 1.5 bases feels like a stretch. While Lowe has flashed speed on occasion, the Astros possess a formidable defense that can neutralize running threats. Their catchers rank among the best in the league for throwing out base runners, and with the stakes high in this pivotal matchup, expect Houston to tighten the screws. Lowe’s recent numbers also reveal a trend: he’s only attempted a steal in a handful of games this month, and with the Astros’ ace on the mound, opportunities will be scarce. The odds are heavily stacked against him reaching that 1.5 mark, making the "Under" a compelling play here. With the Astros’ pressure on the Angels, it's likely we'll see Lowe focus more on getting on base than testing Houston's arm behind the plate.

Cooper Pratt (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants prepare to host the Brewers, all eyes should be on Cooper Pratt when considering the walks market. Pratt has been struggling to find his rhythm lately, averaging only 0.5 walks over his last ten games. The Giants’ pitching staff, particularly their starters, has been relentless, boasting a walk rate that ranks among the lowest in the league. With their ability to control the strike zone, opposing batters are finding it tough to draw free passes. Moreover, the Brewers' recent offensive trends have shown a similar pattern, as they’ve been swinging aggressively and making contact more often. When combined with Pratt's current struggles and the Giants' impressive ability to limit walks, it looks highly probable that he’ll remain under 1.5 walks. With the odds heavily favoring this outcome, betting the under here offers a compelling opportunity to capitalize on the matchup dynamics.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (NA) Under 2.5 Walks (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cardinals and Cubs clash in a pivotal matchup, all eyes will be on young standout Pete Crow-Armstrong. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, his recent performance suggests he’s likely to struggle at the plate today. The Cardinals' pitching staff has been on a roll, boasting a 3.50 ERA at home and limiting opponents to a mere .230 batting average. Crow-Armstrong, on the other hand, has been more aggressive in his approach, averaging less than one walk per game in his last ten outings. Given the Cardinals’ ability to command the strike zone, expect them to challenge him early and often. With an implied probability of nearly 92% for Crow-Armstrong to finish under 2.5 walks, taking the under seems like a savvy play. The combination of solid pitching and Crow-Armstrong's current form makes this bet a compelling narrative as the teams vie for dominance.

Alex Bregman (HOU) Under 7.5 Total Bases (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for this clash between the Cardinals and Cubs, keep an eye on Alex Bregman’s total bases, particularly the under at 7.5. Bregman has been struggling lately, and this matchup could amplify those woes. The Cardinals' pitching staff has been relentless, showcasing a potent mix of strikeouts and ground balls that stifles power hitters. When facing right-handers like the Cardinals’ starter, Bregman’s numbers dip noticeably—he's managed just a handful of total bases in recent outings. Moreover, the Cubs' lineup as a whole has struggled to find consistency, leading to fewer scoring opportunities and tight contests. With the way these teams have been trending, expect a game played in the shadows of a low-scoring affair, making the under on Bregman a compelling play.

Jo Adell (NA) Under 1.5 Walks (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels prepare to face the Astros on July 29, all eyes should be on Jo Adell when it comes to the batter walks market. Adell has been known for his aggressive swing, often leading to him chasing pitches rather than drawing walks. With the Astros’ pitching staff showing a keen ability to limit free passes—allowing just 2.8 walks per game—the chances of Adell reaching that elusive 1.5 mark feel slim. Looking at Adell’s recent performance, he’s walked in just about 5% of his plate appearances lately. Add in the pressure of facing pitchers like Framber Valdez, who excels at getting batters to expand the zone, and you have a recipe for fewer walks. Given these trends and the Astros’ propensity to keep hitters off balance, taking the under feels like a smart play in this matchup.

Grant McCray (NA) Under 2.5 RBIs (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants prepare to face off against the Brewers, all eyes will be on Grant McCray and his quest for RBIs. However, the under on 2.5 RBIs for him feels like a savvy pick here. McCray has shown flashes of brilliance, but he’s often faced formidable pitchers, and today’s matchup against Milwaukee’s Chris Sale could stifle his chances. Sale's experience and capability to keep runs at bay have been pivotal lately, with the Brewers allowing just a handful of RBIs to opposing hitters. Moreover, the Giants' lineup has been inconsistent, struggling to string together hits with runners in scoring position. They've averaged just two runs per game over their last few outings, making it tough for any single player to rack up RBIs. Given these trends and the statistical backing leaning towards the under, McCray finding success today might be more challenging than anticipated. It's time to lean on the under for this one.

Willy Adames (SFG) Under 1.5 Walks (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants host the Brewers on July 29, all eyes should be on Willy Adames and his propensity for walks. Adames has been a solid contributor for Milwaukee, but lately, he’s been more about making contact than drawing walks. In fact, he’s averaging less than one walk per game this season, and with San Francisco’s pitchers showing a knack for keeping hitters off balance, the chances of him walking are slim. The Giants’ staff has been particularly tough on right-handed bats, limiting opposing players to a mere 7.8% walk rate. Combine that with Adames’s recent trend of swinging early and often, and you can see why the ‘Under’ on 1.5 walks is tempting. With the Brewers’ playoff push heating up, Adames will likely be more aggressive at the plate, making it hard to envision him taking a stroll to first base today. Look for the Giants' pitching to keep him in check.

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