Carson Benge (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-189)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to host the Mets on July 16, all eyes will be on Carson Benge, who’s been struggling to find his groove at the plate lately. With a batting average hovering around .220 against right-handed pitchers, he’s been facing quite the uphill battle. The Mets' ace on the mound, who has dominated hitters, will likely add to Benge’s woes. Recent trends favor the under, especially considering Benge’s last few games, where he’s managed just a handful of total bases. The Mets have also been stellar defensively, limiting opponents to minimal production. Given that Benge is projected to fall well short of the 1.5 total bases mark, taking the under here seems not only prudent but almost inevitable. In a matchup where every base matters, expect Benge to remain under the radar as the Phillies look to secure a win.

Francisco Lindor (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Mets clash with the Phillies, all eyes will be on Francisco Lindor, but betting on the under for his total bases could be wise. Despite Lindor’s prowess, he’s been struggling lately—hitting just .220 against right-handed pitchers over his last 30 games. The Phillies' starter has been particularly effective at limiting hard contact, posting a solid WHIP and keeping hitters like Lindor in check. Moreover, the Mets face a tough challenge against a Philadelphia bullpen that has been lights out, sporting one of the best ERA marks in the league. With the pressure of a tight race in the standings, expect Lindor to face quality pitches and possibly an early exit against a strong Phillies lineup. Given those recent trends and the matchup dynamics, taking the under on Lindor’s total bases feels like a smart play in this heated rivalry.

Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Mets, all eyes will be on Bryce Harper. While Harper is undoubtedly one of the league’s premier sluggers, the matchup suggests he might struggle to find his rhythm tonight. The Mets' ace, with a sharp slider and a knack for keeping hitters off balance, has historically limited Harper’s effectiveness at the plate. Over the past month, Harper's been hitting just .240 against right-handed pitchers, and the Mets’ staff has been exceptional, maintaining a solid ERA in the low threes. Additionally, the Phillies have seen a dip in overall offensive production against strong pitching, leading to fewer opportunities for extra-base hits. Given these factors, betting on Harper to stay under 1.5 total bases seems prudent. The trends and matchups lean toward a quiet night for the star outfielder, making this wager a compelling choice in this divisional clash.

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