Sal Stewart (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Reds host the Guardians, all eyes are on Sal Stewart, but the expectations for his hitting might be a bit too high. Recent trends highlight Stewart's struggles against right-handed pitching, which makes the Guardians' starter particularly daunting. He’s been racking up strikeouts, and with the Reds' lineup faltering against pitchers with high strikeout rates, Stewart could find himself in a tough spot. Furthermore, the Guardians are known for their solid defense, and they’ve limited opposing hitters effectively in July. With Stewart averaging less than half a hit per game against comparable pitchers, the odds favor the 'Under' on his hits. Given the statistical landscape and the way both teams have been performing, betting on Stewart to stay under the 1.5 mark feels like a savvy play. It’s a calculated risk that could pay off handsomely tonight.

Gabriel Moreno (ARI) Under 1.5 Hits (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Pirates host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Gabriel Moreno, but betting the under on his hits at 1.5 seems wise. Recently, Moreno has struggled to find his rhythm at the plate, with only a .220 average over the last two weeks. The Pirates’ pitching staff has quietly turned into a formidable challenge, featuring a rotation that boasts a 3.60 ERA at home, making it increasingly tough for hitters to find success. Moreover, lefties like Moreno have not fared well against Pittsburgh’s ace, who has a knack for keeping left-handed bats in check. Given that Moreno has only managed to cross the 1.5 hits mark in a third of his recent games, it’s clear that this isn’t just a hunch; it’s a trend. With the odds favoring the under and the matchup heavily tilted against him, it’s a smart play to expect Moreno to struggle tonight.

Mitch Keller (NA) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pirates take the field against the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Mitch Keller and his strikeout potential. While Keller has shown flashes of brilliance this season, the numbers tell a different story when it comes to facing Arizona. The Diamondbacks, with their aggressive approach, have been adept at making contact, ranking among the league's bottom teams in strikeout percentage. Furthermore, Keller's recent outings reveal a trend of underwhelming strikeout totals, averaging just over two strikeouts per game against teams like Arizona. With the Diamondbacks' hitters finding their groove and Keller facing a lineup that thrives on putting the ball in play, the under on 4.5 strikeouts feels like a savvy play. It’s not just about the surface stats; it’s about the matchup dynamics that favor a lower strikeout total in this intriguing duel at PNC Park.

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