Here are our AFL picks for Wednesday 2 September 2026. Our model likes 7 bets here. The one it likes most is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 21.5 Disposals, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 21.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 21.5 Disposals. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 10.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Karl Worner (Fremantle) Over 10.5 Disposals. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 12.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 12.5 Disposals. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Adelaide Crows play Western Bulldogs in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) Over 9.5 Disposals. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 69.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Adelaide Crows play Western Bulldogs in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 69.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 13.5 Disposals (-588)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Karl Amon (Hawthorn) Over 13.5 Disposals. It was priced at -588 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Josh Ward (Hawthorn) Over 16.5 Disposals (-714)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Josh Ward (Hawthorn) Over 16.5 Disposals. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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