Best AFL Multi Picks Today, Wednesday 07/09 (7-Leg) : High Probability Plays

Ben Long is a strong bet to score anytime against Collingwood based on his recent form. With an average of 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games and a consistent presence inside 50, Long has been a key figure in scoring opportunities for Gold Coast. His high shot accuracy (42.7%) and involvement in creating scoring chances (6.4 score involvements per game) further support his goal-scoring potential. Facing Collingwood, against whom he has averaged 1 goal in his last 5 matchups at home, Long is well-positioned to capitalize on his recent performance and make an impact on the scoreboard.

Charlie Curnow (Carlton) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-833)

Charlie Curnow is a strong bet to score in the upcoming game based on his recent performances and matchup history. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and facing an opponent against whom he typically scores, Curnow's consistency makes him a reliable choice. His high shot accuracy of 31.6% and frequent goal involvements (6.4 per game) further support this bet. The model's prediction of 1.9 goals aligns well with Curnow's recent form, indicating a 7.0% edge. Considering his above-average goal-scoring rate and the implied probability of 89.3%, betting on Curnow to score at least one goal is a smart move for this matchup at Marvel Stadium.

Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) Over 24.5 Disposals (-714)

Bailey Smith's recent form, especially in away games, supports betting on him to surpass 24.5 disposals against the GWS Giants. With a strong average of 34.4 disposals in his last five away games and a hit streak of 7 games exceeding this line, Smith consistently dominates possession. Additionally, facing the Giants, he maintains a high average of 32 disposals in his last five matchups. His overall hit rate of 13/13 and a current hit streak of 13 further solidify his reliability. These statistics suggest that Smith's involvement in the game and his ability to find the ball will likely lead him to surpass the 24.5 disposals mark once again.

Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-400)

Aaron Cadman is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and a solid goal accuracy of 68.3%, Cadman consistently finds the big sticks. His high score involvements of 3.6 per game and 2.4 shots at goal show his active presence in the forward line. Against Geelong Cats, where he has averaged 0.7 goals in his last five matchups, Cadman is primed to capitalize on his opportunities. Coupled with the model's 14.8% edge, Cadman's goal-scoring ability makes him a reliable choice for this bet.

Jayden Short (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)

Jayden Short is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals against Essendon at the MCG. His recent form, averaging 22 disposals in his last 5 home games and maintaining a stellar 100% hit rate over 12 consecutive home games, showcases his consistency and involvement. Facing Essendon, Short has historically exceeded the line with a 24 disposals average over his last 5 matchups. His high disposals efficiency (82.1%) and significant metres gained (468.8) further support his ability to meet or exceed this mark. With an implied probability of 88.5% and a model edge of 6.3%, the data aligns well for Short to continue his impressive performance streak.

Brody Mihocek (Collingwood) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-588)

Brody Mihocek presents a strong case to score anytime against the Gold Coast Suns based on his recent form. With an average of 1.8 goals in his last 5 away games and a 63.3% goal accuracy, Mihocek has been a consistent scoring threat. His involvement in the forward line is evident with 2.4 average marks inside 50 and 5 score involvements per game. Facing the Suns, against whom he has previously scored at least 1 goal in his last 5 encounters, Mihocek's goal-scoring proficiency is further supported. With an implied probability of 85.5% and a model edge of 9.1%, betting on Mihocek to snag a goal is a statistically sound choice.