Best AFL Multi Picks Today, Thursday 07/10 (7-Leg) : High Probability Plays

Ben Long is a solid bet to score anytime in the upcoming game. With a model prediction of 2 goals and an edge of 14.7%, the data supports his scoring potential. Long's recent form with an average of 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games, coupled with his high involvement in scoring opportunities (6.4 score involvements average), indicates he is in a prime position to snag a goal against Collingwood. His average of 4 shots at goal per game and ability to hit the big sticks with a 42.7% goal accuracy further boost his chances. Additionally, facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 1 goal in their last 5 encounters, adds to the favorable matchup for Long to contribute on the scoreboard.

Charlie Curnow (Carlton) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-833)

Charlie Curnow is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming game against Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and facing an opponent he has historically scored against, Curnow's goal-scoring potential is promising. His average of 4.4 shots at goal and 6.4 score involvements per game further support his ability to impact the scoreboard. Additionally, Curnow's 31.6% goal accuracy at home indicates he is efficient in front of the big sticks. Considering these factors, along with the model's prediction and a 7.0% edge, betting on Curnow to score anytime seems like a favorable choice for this match at Marvel Stadium.

Riley Thilthorpe (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-833)

Riley Thilthorpe, with a strong L5 average of 2 goals per away game and solid shot accuracy at 39.6%, faces the Western Bulldogs where he has maintained a 2-goal average against them. His recent form, with 6.8 score involvements and 4 shots on goal per away game, indicates his active presence in the forward line. With an average of 3 marks inside 50, Thilthorpe is positioned well to snag a goal. The model's prediction of 1.8 goals aligns with his recent performance, suggesting a consistent scoring threat. Considering his recent stats, Thilthorpe is poised to split the middle and hit the scoreboard, making the 'Anytime Goalscorer' bet on him a favorable choice.

Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) Over 24.5 Disposals (-714)

Bailey Smith is a strong bet to go over 24.5 disposals based on his recent performance and matchup history. With a model prediction of 32.7 disposals and a solid average of 34.4 disposals in his last five away games, Smith consistently surpasses the line. His 87.7% implied probability indicates a high likelihood of meeting or exceeding expectations. Additionally, his 7-game hit streak and 13-game overall hit streak demonstrate his reliability in achieving this target. Against the GWS Giants, Smith has averaged 32 disposals in their last five encounters, further supporting the bet. With his form, consistency, and favorable matchup, backing Smith to surpass 24.5 disposals seems like a smart wager for this AFL matchup.

Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-400)

Aaron Cadman is a strong bet to score anytime due to his recent form. With an impressive average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games, he has been consistently finding the big sticks. Additionally, his high goal accuracy of 68.3% and frequent goal involvements (3.6 on average) suggest he is a reliable scoring threat. Against the upcoming opponent, the Geelong Cats, he has maintained a solid average of 0.7 goals over the last five matchups. Cadman's ability to create scoring opportunities is evident in his average of 2.4 shots at goal and 1.8 marks inside 50 in recent home games, indicating he is well-positioned to snag a goal during this matchup at ENGIE Stadium.

Jayden Short (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)

Jayden Short's recent form, especially at home, supports betting on him to surpass 14.5 disposals. With a model prediction of 22.7 disposals, a solid 5 standard deviation, and a 6.3% edge, Short's consistency is evident. His impressive home averages of 22 disposals, 17.8 kicks, and 4.2 handballs, combined with a flawless hit streak of 12 games at home, make this bet appealing. Additionally, his history against Essendon, averaging 24 disposals in their previous encounters, further strengthens the case for backing Short to continue his stellar performance on home turf.