Best AFL Multi Picks Today, Saturday 07/05 (7-Leg) Bailey Smith Prop Focus: High Probability Plays

Kysaiah Pickett is a strong choice to score anytime against Adelaide Crows based on his consistent performance. With an impressive average of 1.8 goals in his last five away games and a goal accuracy of 48.3%, he has shown a knack for finding the big sticks. Additionally, his average of 4.6 shots at goal and 7.4 score involvements per game indicate he is actively involved in Melbourne's attacking plays. Facing Adelaide where he historically averages 1.5 goals away, Pickett's recent form of 2.8 goals on average further supports his goal-scoring potential. These stats suggest he has a high probability of hitting the scoreboard, making him a reliable choice for an anytime goal in this matchup.

Josh Treacy (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-833)

Josh Treacy's recent form shows an upward trend in goal-scoring potential despite a lower average. His L5 stats reveal an increase in Shots at Goal and Marks Inside 50, indicating a more active presence in the forward line. Treacy's Score Involvements averaging 3.4 suggest he's becoming a key contributor in goal chains. Although his Goal Accuracy is modest, his L5 performance against the upcoming opponent and overall goal-scoring average of 1.2 highlight his capability to snag a goal. With an implied probability of 89.3% and a solid model prediction of 1.6, betting on Treacy to score anytime against the Sydney Swans presents a compelling opportunity based on his recent improvements and historical data.

Hugh McCluggage (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-714)

Hugh McCluggage is a standout pick to hit over 19.5 disposals against Port Adelaide at the Gabba. His recent form, averaging 28.8 disposals in home games, far exceeds the line. With a strong 87.7% implied probability and a model predicting 26.3 disposals with a 3.4% edge, McCluggage's consistency shines through. His impressive 9-game hit streak at home and a flawless 20/20 hit rate overall further solidify this bet. Expect his contested possessions (10.4 avg), kicks (15.8 avg), and metres gained (433.2 avg) to fuel his performance. Betting on McCluggage to surpass 19.5 disposals seems a safe and lucrative choice based on his recent dominance.

Max Gawn (Melbourne) Over 14.5 Disposals (-455)

Max Gawn is poised to excel with a predicted 21.2 disposals, well above the set line of 14.5. His recent form, averaging 21.8 disposals in away games, surpasses both his L5 performance against the Adelaide Crows (15 disposals) and his overall L5 average of 20 disposals. With a solid contested possession average of 15.8 and effective disposal efficiency at 68.4%, Gawn's ability to dominate the midfield is evident. Despite no current hit streaks, his consistency, highlighted by hitting 12 out of 13 targets in recent games, indicates a high probability of exceeding this line. Bet on Max Gawn to shine in the 'Player Disposals Over' market.

Jack Higgins (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-455)

Jack Higgins is poised to snag a goal in the upcoming St Kilda vs. Hawthorn clash. With a solid L5 average of 1.4 goals per home game, Higgins has been a consistent threat in front of goal. His impressive 56.7% goal accuracy and knack for being involved in scoring plays (L5 Scoreinvolvements 4) make him a key player in the Saints' attack. Against Hawthorn, he has been particularly effective, averaging 0.5 goals in their last five encounters. With his recent form and the model predicting him to score 1.5 goals, well above the line of 0.5, the odds are in favor of Higgins finding the back of the net, providing a strong betting opportunity.

Cooper Sharman (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-357)

Cooper Sharman is a strong bet to score anytime against Hawthorn based on his recent form. With an average of 2.2 goals in his last 5 home games and a goal accuracy of 71.4%, Sharman has been a consistent threat in front of goal. His average of 3.6 shots at goal and involvement in scoring plays, averaging 6.2 score involvements, further support his scoring potential. Facing Hawthorn, against whom he has averaged 0.5 goals in his last 5 matchups, Sharman's form and matchup history suggest he is likely to hit the back of the net. With the model predicting 1.5 goals for him in this game, backing Sharman to score anytime seems like a solid choice.