Best AFL Multi Picks Today, Friday 09/19 (5-Leg) : High Probability Plays

Tyson Stengle is poised to snag a goal in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks clash based on his recent form. With a solid average of 0.8 goals in his last five home games and facing an opponent where he's scored an average of 0.7 goals at home against them, Stengle's scoring potential is evident. His consistent involvement in the forward line is highlighted by an average of 1.4 marks inside 50 and 3.4 shots at goal per game. Despite a slight goal accuracy of 21.3%, Stengle's high shot volume and scoring involvement averaging at 6 per game make him a compelling bet to hit the scoreboard, especially with the model's prediction supporting his goal-scoring capability.

Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-769)

Logan Morris is a solid bet to score anytime against Collingwood based on his recent form. With an impressive average of 2.6 goals in his last five away games and a high goal accuracy of 59.8%, he consistently finds the big sticks. Additionally, his involvement in scoring plays, averaging 5 score involvements per game, indicates his impact on the game. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 3 goals in the last five matchups, Morris is likely to continue his scoring streak. His ability to generate shots at goal (4 per game) and create opportunities inside 50 (1.6 per game) further support his goal-scoring potential. Bet on Morris to snag a goal based on his recent performance metrics.

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)

Gryan Miers is a solid pick for the 'Disposals Over' bet. His consistent performance at home, averaging 25.2 disposals in the last five games, exceeds the set line of 14.5. With a model prediction of 22.5, indicating a 6.7% edge, and an impressive 87.7% implied probability, Miers' recent form against Hawthorn, averaging 17 disposals, further supports this bet. His exceptional disposalefficiency of 77.4% and ability to generate metres gained (379.4 average) highlight his impact on the field. Miers' current hit streak of 9 home games and 16 overall, boasting a perfect hit rate, solidify his reliability to surpass the disposals line in this matchup against Hawthorn at the MCG.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 19.5 Disposals (-588)

Max Holmes is poised to shine in this matchup, boasting impressive recent form and solid L5 stats. With a model predicting 27 disposals, significantly above the line of 19.5, Holmes has been consistent at home with a 31-disposal average. His high contested possessions (11) and efficient disposal rate (67.0%) indicate his ability to impact the game effectively. Facing Hawthorn, against whom he averages 21 disposals at home, Holmes is likely to exceed the line. His current hit streak of 10 at home and overall streak of 7 further support his reliability. Backing Holmes to go over 19.5 disposals seems a smart move given his recent performance and matchup history.