Here are our AFL picks for Friday 28 August 2026. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) Over 15.5 Disposals, priced at -118 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) Over 15.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Western Bulldogs play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) Over 15.5 Disposals. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Beau McCreery (Collingwood) Under 15.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Western Bulldogs play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Beau McCreery (Collingwood) Under 15.5 Disposals. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) Under 24.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Melbourne Demons play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Kysaiah Pickett (Melbourne) Under 24.5 Disposals. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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