Best AFL Multi Picks Today, Friday 07/11 (7-Leg) Jack Gunston Prop Focus: High Probability Plays

Ben Long is a strong bet to score anytime in the Gold Coast Suns vs. Collingwood Magpies game due to his recent form. Averaging 1.8 goals in his last 5 home games and boasting a 42.7% goal accuracy, Long consistently gets involved in the Suns' scoring opportunities. With an average of 4 shots at goal and 2.2 marks inside 50 per game, he is a key target in their forward line. Facing Collingwood, against whom he has averaged 1 goal in his last 5 matchups, Long's scoring potential is further supported by his ability to convert chances. Given the model's prediction of 2 goals with a strong 11.9% edge, backing Long to score anytime is a statistically sound choice.

Aaron Cadman (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-435)

Aaron Cadman is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming match based on his recent performance. With an average of 1.6 goals in his last five home games and a solid goal accuracy of 68.3%, Cadman has been consistently impactful in front of the big sticks. His involvement in the Giants' scoring plays is evident, averaging 3.6 score involvements at home. Additionally, his average of 2.4 shots at goal and 1.8 marks inside 50 highlight his ability to create scoring opportunities. Considering his recent form and the matchup against Geelong, where he averages 0.7 goals against them, Cadman presents a reliable option to hit the scoreboard, making the bet on him to score anytime a favorable choice.

Bailey Smith (Geelong Cats) Over 24.5 Disposals (-400)

Bailey Smith's recent form and dominance in disposals make him a strong pick to surpass 24.5 disposals against the GWS Giants. With an average of 34.4 disposals in his last five away games and a hit rate of 7/7 exceeding this line, Smith's consistency is evident. His L5 averages in contested possessions (9.2), kicks (23), and metres gained (752.6) further support his ability to control possessions. Facing the Giants, he has maintained an average of 32 disposals, showcasing his comfort against this opponent. Smith's exceptional disposals efficiency (65.9%) and solid intercepts (2.2) round out his well-rounded game. With a model prediction of 32.7 disposals and a 14.8% edge, backing Smith to go over 24.5 disposals seems a prudent choice.

Jayden Short (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)

Jayden Short is a strong bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Essendon at the MCG. His impressive home form, averaging 22 disposals with a solid 82.1% efficiency, exceeds the model's prediction of 22.6. Short's recent consistency, especially against Essendon with a 24-disposal average, and a current hit streak of 12 at home and 24 overall, indicate a high probability of meeting or exceeding this line. With his stellar metrics in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained, Short's role in Richmond's setup makes him likely to contribute significantly, making the Over 14.5 disposals a compelling bet.

Mabior Chol (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-476)

Mabior Chol is a strong contender to snag a goal in the Fremantle vs. Hawthorn clash based on his recent form. With an impressive average of 2.2 goals in his last five away games and a 70.0% goal accuracy, Chol has been a consistent goal scorer. Additionally, his average of 1.6 marks inside 50 and 2.6 shots at goal per game make him a threatening presence in the forward line. Facing Fremantle, against whom he has averaged 1 goal in his last five games, Chol's scoring potential is further supported. Given his recent performances and the matchup dynamics, betting on Chol to score anytime could be a profitable choice.

Paul Curtis (North Melbourne) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-588)

Paul Curtis is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an impressive average of 2.2 goals in his last five away games, along with a high goal accuracy of 73.0%, Curtis consistently finds the big sticks. His involvement in scoring plays, averaging 6 score involvements per game, and frequent shots at goal (3.2 per game) indicate his active role in the forward line. Facing an opponent where he has historically performed well, with an average of 0.8 goals in his last five matchups against them, Curtis is poised to continue his scoring streak. These statistics align with the model's high prediction of 1.6 goals, making Curtis a solid pick for scoring in the upcoming game.