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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Liam Ryan is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 84%, implied 85%, edge +9.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 1:44PM UTC
AFL

Liam Ryan

St Kilda

+9.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+9.6% Edge
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Apr 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
95 in 100
Predicted
1.8 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 95.1% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +9.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals95.1%83.5%85.5%1.20+9.6%

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AI Analysis

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Liam Ryan (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Liam Ryan is a goal-snagging machine, especially when he's in his element at home. With an average of 2.4 goals per game in his last five home matches, he's been a consistent threat in front of the big sticks. His impressive goal accuracy of 60.3% and knack for creating scoring opportunities with 3.8 shots at goal per game make him a prime candidate to light up the scoreboard. Facing off against Carlton, where he's averaged 1.2 goals in their previous encounters, Ryan's track record speaks for itself. With a current 8-game goal streak at home and a perfect 5/5 hit rate overall, backing Ryan to snag over 0.5 goals in this clash is a smart move. Expect him to continue his scoring spree and deliver for the Saints in style.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Liam Ryan averaged 12.5 disposals, 0.8 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

12.5
Disposals
0.8
Goals
4.3
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (18 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Liam Ryan recorded 18 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
18 Aug 24Carlton18072
10 Aug 24North Melbourne10032
2 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS13141
27 Jul 24Fremantle10241
20 Jul 24St Kilda12042
14 Jul 24Brisbane Lions21292
7 Jul 24Melbourne13142
30 Jun 24Hawthorn14042
23 Jun 24Essendon19032
8 Jun 24North Melbourne11011
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Liam Ryan (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Liam Ryan is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.6% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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