Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cooper Sharman is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 87%, for a model edge of +5.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 8:04AM UTC
AFL

Cooper Sharman

St Kilda

+5.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -667 (1.15)
+5.9% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 16 Jul, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.8%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+5.9%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals92.8%—87.0%1.08+5.9%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Cooper Sharman (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a player primed to snag a goal in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. St Kilda Saints clash, Cooper Sharman stands out as a promising prospect. Over his last five games, Sharman has been a consistent threat in front of the big sticks, averaging 1 goal per game when away. His recent form indicates a player in tune with goal-scoring opportunities, boasting a solid 36.7% goal accuracy away from home. Adding to his attacking prowess, Sharman averages 2.8 marks inside 50 and 6.4 score involvements in his last five away appearances. With a current hit streak of 2 on away turf and a stellar 5-game hit rate of 100%, backing Sharman to notch over 0.5 goals seems like a smart play with enticing value in this high-stakes footy showdown.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Goalsvs Geelong CatsO 0.5 -588+7.4% edge
70%hit L10 O 0.5
2.2avg goals L5
Away1vs Geelong Cats1.4Season best3
O 0.570%
O 1.550%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)7 / 10 hit
0122230220

Cooper Sharman has gone over 0.5 goals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 2.2 goals, best 3). Current line: Over 0.5 at -588, model edge +7.4%.

DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11.8avg disposals L5
Away12.2vs Geelong Cats11.4Season best21
O 9.570%
O 10.560%
O 11.540%
O 12.540%
O 13.530%
O 14.510%
Game log vs line (O 11.5)avg 10 · hi 21 · lo 1
15101211219101011

Cooper Sharman has gone over 11.5 disposals in 4 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 11.8 disposals, best 21).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 0.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Cooper Sharman (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cooper Sharman is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.9% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 16 July at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.