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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cooper Sharman is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 82%, for a model edge of +10.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 2:16PM UTC
AFL

Cooper Sharman

St Kilda

+10.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -455 (1.22)
+10.9% Edge
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.8%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+10.9%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals92.8%82.0%1.08+10.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Cooper Sharman (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Cooper Sharman, the young gun for St Kilda, has been lighting it up lately with an average of 2 goals per game in his last 5 home matches. His sharpshooting accuracy of 51.4% under the Marvel Stadium lights makes him a genuine scoring threat. Additionally, his knack for getting involved in the play with an average of 5.8 score involvements per game showcases his impact beyond just snagging goals. Facing off against Carlton, a team he has historically found success against with an average of 1.3 goals per game, sets the stage for Sharman to continue his scoring spree. With a line set at a mere 0.5 goals, backing Sharman to hit the scoreboard seems like a no-brainer given his recent form and historical dominance against the Blues. So, expect Sharman to bag one and split the middle come game day.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Goalsvs Carlton BluesO 0.5 -455
60%hit L10 O 0.5
1.8avg goals L5
Home2vs Carlton1.2Season best3
O 0.560%
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)7 / 10 hit
0122230220

Cooper Sharman has gone over 0.5 goals in 6 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.8 goals, best 3). Current line: Over 0.5 at -455.

DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
11.6avg disposals L5
Home11vs Carlton12.2Season best21
O 9.570%
O 10.560%
O 11.540%
O 12.530%
O 13.520%
Game log vs line (O 11.5)avg 10 · hi 21 · lo 1
15101211219101011

Cooper Sharman has gone over 11.5 disposals in 4 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 11.6 disposals, best 21).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Cooper Sharman (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cooper Sharman is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.9% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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