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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is Over 23.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +6.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 2:11PM UTC
AFL

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera

St Kilda

+6.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 23.5 -769 (1.13)
+6.1% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 16 Jul, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
94.6%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+6.1%
Predicted Value
31.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals94.6%—88.5%1.06+6.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda) Over 23.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is set to light up GMHBA Stadium when the St Kilda Saints clash with the Geelong Cats. All signs point to a stellar performance from the dynamic midfielder. Over his last five away games, Nasiah has been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 33 possessions. Against the Cats, he's been even more prolific, notching an average of 30.5 disposals. With a current hit streak of 6 on the road and an overall streak of 11, Nasiah's form is red hot. His ability to find space, rack up kicks (23.8 avg), and maintain a high disposal efficiency (65.3%) makes smashing the over of 23.5 disposals a tantalizing bet. Trust in Nasiah to deliver the goods and fill up the stat sheet once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
37.2avg disposals L5
Away33vs Geelong Cats26.6Season best31
O 34.520%
O 35.520%
O 36.520%
O 37.520%
O 38.520%
O 39.520%
Game log vs line (O 37.5)avg 25.6 · hi 31 · lo 21
28262828233123232125

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera has gone over 37.5 disposals in 2 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 37.2 disposals, best 31).

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
60%hit L10 O 0.5
0.8avg goals L5
Away1vs Geelong Cats0.4Season best1
O 0.560%
O 1.510%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)avg 0.1 · hi 1 · lo 0
0000010000

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera has gone over 0.5 goals in 6 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 0.8 goals, best 1).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 25.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 22.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 20.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is Over 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.1% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 16 July at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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