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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is Over 28.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 72%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 7:05PM UTC
AFL

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera

St Kilda

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 28.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+0.1% Edge
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
31.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.6% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.6%72.5%1.38+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda) Over 28.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is a prime candidate. In his last five home games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging a whopping 33.2 disposals per match. Wanganeen-Milera's ability to find space and create opportunities for his team is evident in his stellar 77.1% disposal efficiency during these games. Facing Carlton, a team he's already been productive against with a 26 disposals average in their last encounters, Nasiah is poised to excel. With a recent hit rate of 4 out of 5 at home and averaging 33.8 disposals overall in his last five games, the stage is set for Wanganeen-Milera to shine brightly at Marvel Stadium. Betting on him to surpass 28.5 disposals seems like a smart play given his recent form and historical performance against the Blues.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera averaged 25.7 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.6 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

25.7
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.6
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera recorded 25 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton25061
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats21072
11 Aug 24Richmond230101
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions23072
27 Jul 24Essendon31170
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles23082
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows28072
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans28061
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide26023
8 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS28051
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 28.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 27.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 26.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending
01 Aug 26 Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera is Over 28.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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