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AFL

Rowan Marshall

St Kilda

+7.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -588 (1.17)
+7.4% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 18 Apr, 9:35AM
Model Probability
92.9%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+7.4%
Predicted Value
17.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Rowan Marshall (St Kilda) Over 10.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to surpass 10.5 disposals, Rowan Marshall stands out like a beacon in the night. The St Kilda big man has been a midfield force, averaging a whopping 16.8 disposals over his last five away matches. His versatility is evident with 12.2 kicks and 4.6 handballs per game, showcasing his ability to impact the contest both in the air and on the ground. Marshall's recent form against Adelaide also bodes well, as he’s been averaging 14.5 disposals in their head-to-head matchups. With an impressive 85.5% implied probability to hit the over, Marshall looks primed to dominate the midfield at Adelaide Oval. So, expect him to rack up the possessions, split the middle, and deliver a solid return on the over 10.5 disposals market in this clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 62.5% (5/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 11.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 10.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 12.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Rowan Marshall (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 62.5% (5/8). The latest model pick for Rowan Marshall is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 18 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.