Here are the 5 NRL player props our model likes most for September 29, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
On Sunday 4 October 2026,
Sydney Roosters host
Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Harrison Graham Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Harrison Graham scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Sam Walker Last Try Scorer. This wins if Sam Walker scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +2000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $210 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Greg Marzhew Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Greg Marzhew scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +3000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $310 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Angus Crichton First Try Scorer. This wins if Angus Crichton scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Sandon Smith Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Sandon Smith scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.