Here are the 5 NRL player props our model likes most for October 1, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
On Sunday 4 October 2026,
Sydney Roosters host
Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Mat Croker Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Mat Croker scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1700 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $180 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Greg Marzhew Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Greg Marzhew scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Angus Crichton Last Try Scorer. This wins if Angus Crichton scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Lindsay Collins Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Lindsay Collins scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +10000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1010 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Lindsay Collins has scored a try in each of his last 2 games. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is
Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana First Try Scorer. This wins if Elijah Salesa-Leaumoana scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.