NRL player props today: our 4 best picks (September 28, 2026)

Here are the 4 NRL player props our model likes most for September 28, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.

On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Harrison Graham Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Harrison Graham scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dylan Lucas Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Dylan Lucas scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +3300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $340 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dane Gagai Last Try Scorer. This wins if Dane Gagai scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. That price was showing at TAB. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 4 October 2026, Sydney Roosters host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Angus Crichton First Try Scorer. This wins if Angus Crichton scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.