NRL player props today: our 4 best picks (September 27, 2026)

Here are the 4 NRL player props our model likes most for September 27, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.

On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dylan Lucas Over 1.5 Tries. This wins if Dylan Lucas scores at least 2 tries. It was priced at +5000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $510 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Lachlan Crouch Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Lachlan Crouch scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Phoenix Crossland First Try Scorer. This wins if Phoenix Crossland scores the very first try of the game. It was priced at +8000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $810 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Sunday 27 September 2026, Penrith Panthers host Newcastle Knights in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Harrison Graham Last Try Scorer. This wins if Harrison Graham scores the very last try of the game. It was priced at +8000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $810 if it lands. That price was showing at BetRight. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.