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Model picks & player props
Indianapolis Colts
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers Picks & Predictions · Sun 11 Oct

Our model graded 20 markets for Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers and backs Under 15.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $370.

NFL
Pittsburgh
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded

Sunday 11 October 2026: Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers

The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 15.5 Alternate Team Total Points +270

The model graded 20 markets for Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $370 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 5:00PM at Pittsburgh.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win32.1%
The price says25.9%
Best price+270
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Under 15.5 Long-shot32% chance +270
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot22% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean56% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean57% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Pittsburgh Steelers are the model's favourite to beat Indianapolis Colts, with a 58% chance to win. Predicted score: Pittsburgh Steelers 22.5 – Indianapolis Colts 19.9. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 5:00PM at Pittsburgh. Best bet: Under 15.5 at +270.
How they've been scoring this season
Indianapolis ColtsPittsburgh Steelers
Won-lost2-22-2
Points scored per game25.519.3
Points allowed per game26.021.8
On the road / at home1-1 away2-0 at home
Last 5 gamesLLWWWLWL
Their games average 46.3 total points this season.
From the 4 Indianapolis Colts and 4 Pittsburgh Steelers games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Steelers about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Coltsabout 4 in 10$2.25 (+125)$2.25 (+125)
Steelersabout 6 in 10$1.80 (-125)$1.77 (-130)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.00 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 21 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Under
11.5
+550
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Indianapolis Colts on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Indianapolis Colts
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on Indianapolis Colts
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Indianapolis Colts

  • Arden Key DEOut
  • Keenan Allen WROut
  • Alec Pierce WROut
  • Micheal Clemons DEOut

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Derrick Harmon DTOut
  • Rico Dowdle RBOut
  • Jamel Dean CBDoubtful
Availability updated Oct 6, 2:36AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylinePittsburgh Steelers to winNo line posted

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadPittsburgh Steelers spreadNo line posted

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsColts @ SteelersUnder 44.5 -112
56%under %

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers — recent results

Pittsburgh Steelers have won 2 of their last 5 games; Indianapolis Colts have won 2 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Steelers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L24–27CLEAway
W30–27CINHome
L3–20NEAway
W20–13ATLHome
L27–28BUFAway
Indianapolis Colts — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W30–13WSHAway
W19–17HOUHome
L30–33KCAway
L23–41BALHome
L16–25DETHome

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Steelers
PlayerStatus
Derrick Harmon DTOUT
Rico Dowdle RBOUT
Jamel Dean CBDOUBTFUL
Indianapolis Colts
PlayerStatus
Arden Key DEOUT
Keenan Allen WROUT
Alec Pierce WROUT
Micheal Clemons DEOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers — where the money went

Since betting opened on Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers, the market has moved away from Indianapolis Colts across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Indianapolis Colts▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Pittsburgh Steelers▲ Money came for this
Spread — Indianapolis Colts 2▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Pittsburgh Steelers -2▲ Money came for this
Spread — Indianapolis Colts 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Indianapolis Colts 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Colts vs Steelers, or as Steelers vs Colts. The next scheduled game is Sunday 11 October 2026 at Pittsburgh. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers head-to-head record

Final scores · 9 meetings on record
Pittsburgh Steelers 7–2 across the last 9 meetings · these games average 45.7 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 2 Nov 2025, Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers: the Steelers won 27-20.

DateGameScoreWinner
2 Nov 2025Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers27–20Pittsburgh Steelers
29 Sep 2024Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts27–24Indianapolis Colts
16 Dec 2023Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts30–13Indianapolis Colts
28 Nov 2022Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts17–24Pittsburgh Steelers
27 Dec 2020Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers28–24Pittsburgh Steelers
3 Nov 2019Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers26–24Pittsburgh Steelers
12 Nov 2017Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts17–20Pittsburgh Steelers
24 Nov 2016Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts7–28Pittsburgh Steelers
6 Dec 2015Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers45–10Pittsburgh Steelers

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