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NFL

TreVeyon Henderson

NE

Value call

TreVeyon Henderson has one live pick today: over 14.5 rushing yards that pays $136 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
89 in 100
Predicted
35.7 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 89.1% · before adjusting for past results 92.8% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +15.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Thu 22 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
TreVeyon Henderson
over 14.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
Value call
HIGHWins about 89 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.60 Odds-278
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for TreVeyon Henderson is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 89%, the price says 74%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 3:58AM UTC
QUESTIONABLE
Henderson (illness) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Dolphins.
updated Oct 30, 8:43PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)92.8%89.1%73.5%1.36+19.2%

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AI Analysis

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TreVeyon Henderson (NE) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate (-278)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play New England Patriots in the NFL on Friday 23 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is TreVeyon Henderson (NE) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards110 lines trackedNo line posted
39.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over53%tips tracked110

TreVeyon Henderson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 110 times, typically around a 39.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
38%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4

TreVeyon Henderson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 38%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards24 lines trackedNo line posted
7.5typical line · receiving yds
line range3.5–59.5tips tracked24

TreVeyon Henderson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 24 times, typically around a 7.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions27 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over11%tips tracked27

TreVeyon Henderson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 27 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does TreVeyon Henderson average?How many receiving yards does TreVeyon Henderson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -1250 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

TreVeyon Henderson (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for TreVeyon Henderson is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.2% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears on Thursday 22 October at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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