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Model picks & player props
NFL
Indianapolis
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Houston Texans
VS
Indianapolis Colts

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 67 markets for Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts and backs Over 7.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $191.

20
Game markets graded
47
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 7.5 totals q3
Over 7.5 Totals Q3
You bet$10 If it wins$19.09Best price-110
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.7%
The price says50.0%

The model graded 67 markets for Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 27 Sep 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Indianapolis.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Totals Q3 Over 7.5 High61% chance -110
Team Totals Q1 Members only Lean50% chance Members
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean42% chance Members
Spreads Q1 Members only Lean45% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean50% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean54% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H2 Members only Lean44% chance Members
Receiving Yards × 4 props Highup to 73% Members
Pass + Rush Yards × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Receptions × 5 props Highup to 75% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 72% Members
Total Touchdowns × 2 props Long-shotup to 24% Members
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 70% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 91% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts last met on Sun 27 Sep 2026: Indianapolis Colts won 19-17. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Totals Q3
Over
7.5
-110
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 47 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,257+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotals Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston TexansSpreads Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Texans

  • Jalen Pitre SQuestionable
  • David Montgomery RBQuestionable
  • Marlin Klein TEOut
  • Collin Wright CBOut
  • Nate Thomas OTOut
  • Febechi Nwaiwu GOut
  • Aiden Fisher LBOut
  • Sabastian Harsh DEOut
  • Chris Braswell DEOut
  • Braden Smith OTOut
  • Tank Dell WROut

Indianapolis Colts

  • Riley Leonard QBOut
  • Dalton Tucker GOut
  • Ashton Dulin WROut
  • Jaylon Carlies LBOut
  • Arden Key DEOut
  • Darius Slayton WROut
  • Will Mallory TEOut
Availability updated Oct 12, 4:27AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts: The game is played retractable roof (closed), so wind and rain won't touch the passing or kicking game, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueretractable roof (closed)
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind / weatherIndoors — wind and precipitation are not a factor
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: indoor and domed games remove wind and rain from the equation, which tends to support passing totals and kicking accuracy versus an exposed outdoor game.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Laquon Treadwell IND Receiving Yards
Daniel Jones IND Pass + Rush Yards
Laquon Treadwell IND Receptions
Jonathan Taylor IND Receiving Yards
Daniel Jones IND Passing Yards

+ 47 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineIndianapolis Colts to winNo line posted

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadIndianapolis Colts spreadNo line posted

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsTexans @ ColtsNo line posted

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts — what the model found

Our model graded 67 betting markets for Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts — 20 on the game itself and 47 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
47
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 67 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 66 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts — recent results

Indianapolis Colts have won 2 of their last 5 games; Houston Texans have won 1 of their last 5.

Indianapolis Colts — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L22–34PITAway
W30–13WSHAway
W19–17HOUHome
L30–33KCAway
L23–41BALHome
Houston Texans — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W26–3TENAway
L30–34DALHome
L17–19INDAway
L6–20CINHome
L31–36BUFHome

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Indianapolis Colts won 1, Houston Texans won 1.

DateIndianapolis ColtsHouston TexansWinner
Sep 271917Indianapolis Colts
Jan 43038Houston Texans

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Indianapolis Colts
PlayerStatus
Riley Leonard QBOUT
Dalton Tucker GOUT
Ashton Dulin WROUT
Jaylon Carlies LBOUT
Arden Key DEOUT
Darius Slayton WROUT
Will Mallory TEOUT
Houston Texans
PlayerStatus
Jalen Pitre SQUESTIONABLE
David Montgomery RBQUESTIONABLE
Marlin Klein TEOUT
Collin Wright CBOUT
Nate Thomas OTOUT
Febechi Nwaiwu GOUT
Aiden Fisher LBOUT
Sabastian Harsh DEOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Texans vs Colts, or as Colts vs Texans. The most recent game between them was Sunday 27 September 2026 at Indianapolis. The model has generated 20 game picks and 47 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts head-to-head record

Final scores · 24 meetings on record
Indianapolis Colts 12–11 across the last 24 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 44.0 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 27 Sep 2026, Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: the Colts won 19-17.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Sep 2026Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts19–17Indianapolis Colts
4 Jan 2026Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans38–30Houston Texans
30 Nov 2025Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts16–20Houston Texans
27 Oct 2024Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans23–20Houston Texans
8 Sep 2024Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts27–29Houston Texans
6 Jan 2024Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts19–23Houston Texans
17 Sep 2023Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans20–31Indianapolis Colts
8 Jan 2023Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts31–32Houston Texans
11 Sep 2022Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans20–20Draw
5 Dec 2021Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans0–31Indianapolis Colts

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 24 meetings on file.

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