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Philadelphia Eagles
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars Picks & Predictions · Sun 11 Oct

Our model graded 56 markets for Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars and backs Over 42.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $185.

NFL
Jacksonville
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:30PM
20
Game markets graded
36
Props graded

Sunday 11 October 2026: Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars

The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 42.5 Total Points -118

The model graded 56 markets for Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $185 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:30PM at Jacksonville.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.3%
The price says51.7%
Best price-118
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Over 42.5 High69% chance -118
Team Total Members only High66% chance Members
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean54% chance Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 97% Members
Pass Completions × 2 props Highup to 70% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 67% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 1 prop Long-shotup to 37% Members
Receptions × 3 props Highup to 61% Members
Rush + Rec Yards × 1 prop Highup to 63% Members
Anytime TD × 12 props Long-shotup to 16% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 96% Members
Rushing Attempts × 1 prop Leanup to 58% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Jacksonville Jaguars are the model's favourite to beat Philadelphia Eagles, with a 72% chance to win. Predicted score: Jacksonville Jaguars 28.4 – Philadelphia Eagles 21. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 1:30PM at Jacksonville. Best bet: Over 42.5 at -118.
How they've been scoring this season
Philadelphia EaglesJacksonville Jaguars
Won-lost2-23-1
Points scored per game18.826.0
Points allowed per game23.313.3
On the road / at home1-1 away2-0 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLLWLWW
Their games average 40.6 total points this season.
From the 4 Philadelphia Eagles and 4 Jacksonville Jaguars games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Jaguars about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 7 in 10. Moved toward Jaguars since prices opened (from about 6 in 10 to about 7 in 10).

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Eaglesabout 3 in 10$3.58 (+258)$3.55 (+255)
Jaguarsabout 7 in 10$1.39 (-256)$1.34 (-294)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.70 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 21 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Over
42.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Philadelphia Eagles on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Philadelphia Eagles
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Betus
on Philadelphia Eagles
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Cam Jurgens CQuestionable
  • Saquon Barkley RBQuestionable
  • Jonathan Greenard LBQuestionable
  • Tank Bigsby RBOut
  • DeVonta Smith WROut
  • Fred Johnson OTOut
  • Lane Johnson OTOut
  • Marcus Epps SOut
  • Dallas Goedert TEOut
  • Zack Baun LBOut
  • Hollywood Brown WROut
  • Quinyon Mitchell CBQuestionable

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Christian Braswell CBOut
  • Montaric Brown CBOut
  • Eric Murray SQuestionable
  • Caleb Ransaw SQuestionable
Availability updated Oct 6, 2:49AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 6 Oct

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction & Picks

On October 11, 2026 our model has run Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Over 24.5 Team Total Points (-108), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles: Over 24.5 Team Total Points (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Jacksonville Jaguars have shown they can score points, averaging over 24.5 total points in several games. With their strong ability to move the chains and a solid performance against defenses that give up a fair amount of yards, they should find ways to score. The Eagles' defense has struggled a bit too, allowing over 328 yards a game last season, which could open the door for the Jaguars to rack up some points. However, the matchup is close, and both teams have had their ups and downs on grass fields. Still, considering the Jaguars' recent form and the Eagles' defensive stats, there's a good chance they can push past that 24.5 point mark. It's worth a shot, but remember that a low-scoring game could put this bet at risk.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles: Over 42.5 Total Points (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For this game, we need both the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Philadelphia Eagles to score enough points to go over 42.5 total points. This is likely because both teams have shown they can move the ball well, with Jacksonville getting 19 first downs a game last season. The Eagles also have a decent offense, but they did give up more than 328 yards a game, which could help boost the score. One risk is that Jacksonville has struggled to defend against the pass, allowing over 231 yards through the air each game. If both teams can find their rhythm and take advantage of each other's defensive weaknesses, we could see a high-scoring matchup. With a predicted combined total of about 49 points, this bet has a solid chance to hit.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles: Trevor Lawrence Over 232.5 Passing Yards (-111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Trevor Lawrence to throw over 232.5 passing yards look promising at -111. Our numbers suggest he has a good chance to hit that mark, especially since the Eagles' defense allowed over 200 passing yards a game last season. Lawrence has been solid, and with the Jaguars moving the chains often, he should find opportunities to rack up yards. One thing to consider is that both teams have similar records against the spread on grass, so it could be a close game. The Eagles' defense can be tough, and they've given up a fair amount of passing yards too. Still, if Lawrence can stay in rhythm, he could easily surpass that passing yard total.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles: Trevor Lawrence Over 232.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Trevor Lawrence to throw over 232.5 passing yards look pretty appealing. The Jaguars' quarterback has been in solid form, and he's been able to move the chains effectively this season. Jacksonville's defense has allowed a good amount of passing yards, averaging around 231 yards given up per game. This means that Lawrence could find himself in a position to make some big plays against Philadelphia's defense, which has also struggled against the pass. On the flip side, the Eagles have allowed over 328 total yards per game, including a notable chunk through the air. While Lawrence's success will depend on how well he connects with his receivers, the matchup suggests a solid opportunity for him to hit those passing yard totals. The risk is that both teams are pretty close in performance, so it might be a nail-biter.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles: Bhayshul Tuten Over 1.5 Receptions (Alt) (-109)

Odds correct at time of publishing

In this matchup, the Jacksonville Jaguars are hosting the Philadelphia Eagles, and it looks like a good spot for Bhayshul Tuten to make an impact. The Jaguars have been giving up a lot of passing yards lately, averaging over 231 yards through the air per game last season. With Tuten's ability to get open, he should have chances to catch the ball. While the Eagles' defense has been decent, they allowed a fair amount of yards as well, so there should be opportunities for Tuten to get those receptions. The most concrete risk here is that the teams are quite close in how they perform against the line, making this a bit tricky. Overall, the numbers suggest Tuten has a solid shot to get over 1.5 receptions in this game.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk

Same game parlay

Written 6 Oct

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction & Same Game Parlay Picks

On Tuesday 6 October 2026, Jacksonville Jaguars play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) Over 58.5 Rushing Yards, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jacksonville Jaguars play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) Over 58.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles: Over 42.5 Total Points (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jacksonville Jaguars play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over 42.5 Total Points. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jalen Hurts (PHI) Under 19.5 Pass Completions (-123)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jacksonville Jaguars play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jalen Hurts (PHI) Under 19.5 Pass Completions. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Jacksonville Jaguars v Philadelphia Eagles. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Bhayshul Tuten JAX Rushing Yards (Alt)
Bhayshul Tuten JAX Rushing Yards
Trevor Lawrence JAX Passing Yards (Alt)
Jalen Hurts PHI Pass Completions
Jalen Hurts PHI Passing Yards (Alt)

+ 36 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineJacksonville Jaguars to winNo line posted

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadJacksonville Jaguars spreadNo line posted

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsEagles @ JaguarsOver 42.5 -115
69%over %

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars — what the model found

Our model graded 56 betting markets for Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars — 20 on the game itself and 36 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
36
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 56 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 55 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars — recent results

Jacksonville Jaguars have won 4 of their last 5 games; Philadelphia Eagles have won 2 of their last 5.

Jacksonville Jaguars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W22–17CINAway
W35–6NEHome
L13–20DENAway
W34–10CLEHome
W19–0TBHome
Philadelphia Eagles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L20–24LARHome
L7–27CHIAway
W24–20TENAway
W24–22WSHHome
L13–30CINHome

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Jacksonville Jaguars
PlayerStatus
Christian Braswell CBOUT
Montaric Brown CBOUT
Eric Murray SQUESTIONABLE
Caleb Ransaw SQUESTIONABLE
Philadelphia Eagles
PlayerStatus
Cam Jurgens CQUESTIONABLE
Saquon Barkley RBQUESTIONABLE
Jonathan Greenard LBQUESTIONABLE
Tank Bigsby RBOUT
DeVonta Smith WROUT
Fred Johnson OTOUT
Lane Johnson OTOUT
Marcus Epps SOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars — where the money went

Since betting opened on Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars, the market has moved away from Philadelphia Eagles across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Philadelphia Eagles▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Jacksonville Jaguars▲ Money came for this
Spread — Philadelphia Eagles 3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Philadelphia Eagles 6▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Jacksonville Jaguars -6▲ Money came for this
Spread — Philadelphia Eagles 6.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Jacksonville Jaguars -6.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars — model preview

Jacksonville Jaguars v Philadelphia Eagles, 6 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On October 11, 2026 our model has run Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Over 24.5 Team Total Points (-108), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Eagles vs Jaguars, or as Jaguars vs Eagles. The next scheduled game is Sunday 11 October 2026 at Jacksonville. The model has generated 20 game picks and 36 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Philadelphia Eagles 3–0 across the last 3 meetings (meetings on record since 2018)

Last meeting: Sun 3 Nov 2024, Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles: the Eagles won 28-23.

DateGameScoreWinner
3 Nov 2024Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles28–23Philadelphia Eagles
2 Oct 2022Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles29–21Philadelphia Eagles
28 Oct 2018Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars18–24Philadelphia Eagles
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