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Model picks & player props
Chicago Bears
VS
Detroit Lions

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 3:50PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NFL
Detroit
Sun 14 Sep 2025, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Detroit Lions -6.5 (Spread)
The model graded 20 markets for Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 69.4%, fair odds 1.44, book price -105, model edge +18.1%. Tip-off Sun 14 Sep 2025, 5:00PM at Detroit.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Detroit Lions -6.5 · $100 returned $195

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Detroit Lions
-6
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Detroit LionsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit LionsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BearsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Bears

  • Kyler Gordon CBOut
  • Coby Bryant SQuestionable
  • Elijah Hicks SOut
  • Shemar Turner DTOut
  • Ozzy Trapilo OTOut
  • Keyshaun Elliott LBOut
  • Noah Sewell LBOut

Detroit Lions

  • Tyler Conklin TEOut
  • Miles Kitselman TEQuestionable
  • Sione Vaki RBQuestionable
  • Anthony Firkser TEQuestionable
  • Derrick Moore DEQuestionable
  • Christian Izien SOut
  • Jimmy Rolder LBQuestionable
Availability updated Aug 10, 2:18PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions: The game is played indoor dome, so wind and rain won't touch the passing or kicking game, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueindoor dome
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind / weatherIndoors — wind and precipitation are not a factor
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: indoor and domed games remove wind and rain from the equation, which tends to support passing totals and kicking accuracy versus an exposed outdoor game.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago Bears to winNo line posted

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDetroit Lions spreadNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsBears @ LionsNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Lions
PlayerStatus
Tyler Conklin TEOUT
Miles Kitselman TEQUESTIONABLE
Sione Vaki RBQUESTIONABLE
Anthony Firkser TEQUESTIONABLE
Derrick Moore DEQUESTIONABLE
Christian Izien SOUT
Jimmy Rolder LBQUESTIONABLE
Chicago Bears
PlayerStatus
Kyler Gordon CBOUT
Coby Bryant SQUESTIONABLE
Elijah Hicks SOUT
Shemar Turner DTOUT
Ozzy Trapilo OTOUT
Keyshaun Elliott LBOUT
Noah Sewell LBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
14 Sep 25 Total Points Under 46.5 ✗ MISS
14 Sep 25 Total Points Under 47.5 ✗ MISS
14 Sep 25 Moneyline Chicago Bears ✗ MISS
14 Sep 25 Spread Detroit Lions -6 ✓ HIT
14 Sep 25 Spread Detroit Lions -6.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Bears vs Lions, or as Lions vs Bears. The most recent game between them was Sunday 14 September 2025 at Detroit. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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