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Model picks & player props
Green Bay Packers
VS
Chicago Bears

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:08PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NFL
Chicago
Sun 11 Jan 2026, 1:00AM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Chicago Bears -1.5 (Point Spread)
For Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears (NFL), model win probability 68.6%, fair odds 1.46, book price +102, model edge +19.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Jan 2026, 1:00AM at Chicago.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Chicago Bears
1.5
-112
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago BearsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BearsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago BearsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Green Bay Packers

  • Tucker Kraft TEQuestionable
  • Devonte Wyatt DTQuestionable
  • Luke Musgrave TEQuestionable
  • Micah Parsons DEQuestionable
  • Zach Tom OTQuestionable

Chicago Bears

  • Roschon Johnson RBQuestionable
  • Dayo Odeyingbo DEQuestionable
  • Kyler Gordon CBQuestionable
Availability updated Jul 20, 8:06PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Outdoors with 5 mph wind, 54°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind5 mph
Temperature54°F
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago Bears to winNo line posted

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers moneyline — live line, model win probability and the full settled record, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadChicago Bears spreadNo line posted

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers spread — live line, model win probability and the full settled record, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPackers @ BearsNo line posted

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers game total — live line, model win probability and the full settled record, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
11 Jan 26 Moneyline Chicago Bears ✓ HIT
11 Jan 26 Point Spread Chicago Bears 1.5 ✓ HIT
11 Jan 26 Total Points Under 45.5 ✗ MISS
11 Jan 26 Point Spread Chicago Bears -1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears in the NFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 11 January 2026 at Chicago. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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