On October 11, 2026 our model has run Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Green Bay Packers +1.5 Point Spread (-105), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Green Bay Packers +1.5 Point Spread (-105)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Green Bay Packers have been solid at home, winning 23 of their last 34 regular-season games. Their quarterback has faced a lot of extra pressure this season, which could make things tricky, but playing in front of their fans gives them a definite boost. With them only needing to win by a couple of points, it feels like a good spot to back them.
The Chicago Bears are always a tough matchup, and this game is rated as close to a coin flip. Just remember, the Bears can surprise you, and a close game could go either way.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Under 46.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Green Bay Packers have a solid record when playing at home, winning 23 of 34 regular-season games since 2021. Their quarterback has faced extra rushers quite often, which could make scoring tougher. With the Chicago Bears coming to town, it's likely that both defenses will step up and keep points down.
The expected total points for this matchup is only about 43.9, which is below the line set at 46.5. Since both teams have had their struggles on offense, especially with the pressures Green Bay's quarterback faces, betting on under 46.5 seems smart here. Just remember, this is a close matchup, and either side could surprise us.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Under 23.5 Team Total Points (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
This could make it tough for them to score big against a solid Chicago Bears defense, which has been known to keep things tight.
Also, the Packers have only managed to score more than 23 points on grass just over half the time in recent years. With the game being close to a coin flip, betting on them to stay under 23.5 points seems like a reasonable choice. Just remember, the Packers are favorites at home, but that doesn't guarantee a high score.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Christian Watson Under 62.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Green Bay Packers are facing the Chicago Bears, and this matchup could be tough for Christian Watson. The Packers' quarterback has been under a lot of pressure, seeing extra rushers more than usual. This could make it harder for him to find Watson for big plays. Plus, Green Bay has had mixed results on grass, making it a little risky for the offense.
Betting on Watson to have under 62.5 receiving yards feels like a solid choice. The Packers have won a good number of their home games recently and have a strong chance to keep Watson's numbers down. Just remember, the Bears' defense can surprise, and that adds some uncertainty to this bet.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Matthew Golden Under 57.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Matthew Golden has been solid, but he might struggle against the Chicago Bears. The Packers' quarterback has faced extra pressure on a lot of his dropbacks this season, which could make it tough for Golden to get those yards. With the Bears' defense also looking strong, it seems like he won't rack up the receiving yards as easily as some might think.
The Packers have a decent record at home, but they don't always shine with their passing game. With Golden needing to hit under 57.5 receiving yards, there's a solid chance this bet could come through. Just remember, the pressure from the Bears could limit his opportunities to make big plays.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Luther Burden III Under 4.5 Receptions (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Chicago Bears' defense has been tough on receivers, making it hard for them to rack up catches. Luther Burden III might struggle to get open, especially since the Green Bay Packers' quarterback has faced extra pressure often this season. With the Bears focusing on limiting his options, this could lead to fewer receptions for Burden.
Betting on him to have under 4.5 catches feels solid. The Packers have a strong home advantage, winning most of their games there recently. But remember, Burden could still surprise us, and the matchup is pretty close overall.
That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.