New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Picks, September 17, 2026

The New York Mets have been decent lately, winning six out of their last ten games. However, they have struggled at home with a record of 34 wins and 42 losses this year. The Philadelphia Phillies, on the other hand, have been solid against left-handed pitchers, hitting well with an OPS right around the league average. Their overall record is a bit better, especially with 42 wins on the road. This matchup is nearly even, making it tough to call. The risk here is that both teams are fairly close in performance lately, and the Mets can surprise at home. Still, given the Phillies' stronger hitting against lefties, I think they have a good shot to win this one.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Over 8 Total Runs (-114)

Both the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies have shown they can score runs, especially against left-handed pitchers. This matchup at Citi Field sets up for plenty of action. Betting on the total runs to go over 8 seems promising since our numbers suggest a combined total of about 8.7. While both teams have had ups and downs, the Mets struggle at home with a record of 34-42 this year, and that could make for a close game. Still, with their recent hitting form, I think there's a good chance we see some runs scored tonight.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Philadelphia Phillies +1 Spread (-132)

The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets are pretty evenly matched, but the Phillies have been slightly more consistent lately. They've done well against left-handed pitchers, hitting almost as well as the league average. The Mets have also been decent, but their home record isn't great, which raises some doubts. Betting on the Phillies to keep it close seems smart here. They can score when it counts, and with the odds being tight, it feels like a good chance for them to either win or lose by just a run. The biggest risk is how evenly both teams have performed lately, making it tough to call.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (+107)

The odds for Bryson Stott to get over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs look promising at +107. The Mets have been shaky at home, and Stott is facing a left-handed pitcher today. He has been decent against lefties this year, and he gets around 3.5 chances at bat in a game, which boosts his chances to score or help out with runs. On the flip side, the Mets have won six of their last ten games, so they are not an easy opponent. Stott averages about 0.6 combined hits, runs, and RBIs over his last ten games at Citizens Bank Park, which shows he has the potential but can also come up short. This matchup could swing either way, so it's a bit of a gamble.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-106)

Trea Turner has had a decent season, and lately, he's been doing pretty well against left-handed pitchers. In his last ten games at home, he's been averaging about 0.4 doubles and 0.4 singles, which is encouraging. With the Mets' pitching not being as strong this year, it sets the stage for Turner to get over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs. The matchup is close, with both teams hitting similarly against lefties, so there's no guarantee this will hit. The Mets have won 6 of their last 10, but the Phillies are not far behind. Still, with Turner's recent form and the Mets' struggles, he has a good shot to come through today.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Batter - Runs Scored (-105)

Kyle Schwarber has been pretty solid lately, especially when playing against left-handed pitchers. He's known for making an impact at the plate, averaging around 3.3 hits, runs, and RBIs per game at Citi Field over his last ten games. The Mets have been doing well, winning six out of their last ten, but Schwarber's strength against lefties could help him get on the board today. While the Phillies have only won four of their last ten, they've also been hitting well against left-handed pitchers, which makes this matchup interesting. The biggest risk is that both teams have been fairly close in performance recently, but Schwarber's ability to score runs gives him a good chance to come through. This bet feels like it has a solid shot.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.