New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction & Picks, October 11, 2026

The New England Patriots have been showing some solid form lately, especially on their home turf. Their defense has been holding strong, which could cause problems for the Las Vegas Raiders' offense. Plus, the Patriots have had some extra time to prepare, giving them an advantage. Betting on the Patriots to win seems like a smart choice since our numbers show they have a good chance. However, the Raiders can be tricky, and their offense might surprise the Patriots if they find a rhythm. It's a close match, but I believe the Patriots can pull it off.

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: New England Patriots -3.5 Point Spread (-110)

The New England Patriots have been showing solid form lately, especially at home, where they often play with more confidence. With the Raiders visiting, the Patriots will likely look to take control early and keep the momentum going. Betting on the Patriots to win by at least 3.5 points feels reasonable given how our numbers suggest they might win by about 5.8. However, this matchup is rated close to a coin flip, so it could be a tighter game than expected. The Raiders have shown they can hang tough, which means the Patriots can't afford to underestimate them.

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Under 44.5 Total Points (-105)

Both the New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders have been struggling a bit lately, especially on offense. The Patriots have not been scoring a lot, and the Raiders' defense has shown it can hold teams back. With both teams not being great at finding the end zone, it looks like this game could be a bit of a grind. The bet here is to take the total points under 44.5. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 43.6, which is really close to this line. The biggest risk is that both teams could surprise us and find ways to score more than expected, but with their recent form, it seems likely that this game will stay low-scoring.

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Drake Maye Under 226.5 Passing Yards (-112)

Drake Maye has a tough game ahead against the Las Vegas Raiders' defense. They have shown they can handle passing plays well, which makes it hard for quarterbacks to pile up big yardage. The Patriots are at home, but they have had some struggles lately, and Maye is still finding his rhythm in the NFL. This matchup doesn't seem to favor him racking up a lot of passing yards. While our numbers give this bet a good chance, we should remember that Maye might surprise us on a good day. The Raiders are known for making things difficult for opposing quarterbacks, so this bet on under 226.5 passing yards feels solid. Just keep in mind that Maye's performance could swing the other way if he gets hot.

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Drake Maye Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-105)

New England is hosting Las Vegas, and both teams have shown some struggles lately. Drake Maye, the quarterback for the Patriots, has been finding it tough to connect with his receivers consistently. With the Raiders' defense stepping up in recent weeks, this could mean a rough day for Maye when it comes to throwing touchdowns. The odds suggest this matchup is pretty even, but the risk is that Maye could surprise us and find a way to score. Still, with the way both teams are playing, betting on under 1.5 passing touchdowns seems like a smart choice. Just remember, this isn't a guarantee.

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Ashton Jeanty Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-115)

Ashton Jeanty has been showing some nice promise lately, and he's got a good chance to find the end zone against the Raiders. The Patriots' offense relies on players like him to make big plays, especially at home where they often perform better. The matchup is tight, so it could go either way, but Jeanty's ability to score makes this bet worth considering. The Raiders have faced some challenges stopping runs, which could give Jeanty the opportunity he needs. Just remember, it's a close call and he might not get in, but the chance is there.

That is our read — no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.