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Model picks & player props
Golden State Warriors
VS
New York Knicks

Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
3
Game Picks
9
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 105.5 (Team Total Points)
For Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks (NBA), model win probability 88.1%, fair odds 1.13, book price -526, model edge +4.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Over
105.5
-526
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut

New York Knicks

  • Mohamed Diawara FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Brunson GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 2:45AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Josh Hart New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Gary Payton II Golden State Warriors Rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Karl-Anthony Towns New York Knicks Rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Mikal Bridges New York Knicks Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Mitchell Robinson New York Knicks Rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsGolden State Warriors @ New York KnicksNo line posted

New York Knicks and Golden State Warriors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew York Knicks spreadNo line posted

New York Knicks (season record) meet Golden State Warriors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew York Knicks to winNo line posted

New York Knicks (season record) host or visit Golden State Warriors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New York Knicks totalNo line posted

New York Knicks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New York Knicks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for New York Knicks playing Golden State Warriors. Includes analysis on key players like Gary Payton II. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors stats and odds.</p>

Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes should be on Gary Payton II's rebounding numbers. While the books have set his line at 6.5, the trend suggests he won't hit that mark. In his last five games, Payton has averaged just 2 rebounds, with a woeful 1.6 when playing on the road. Facing a physical Knicks frontcourt, it's hard to see him breaking through that threshold.Even more telling is his consistency against the Knicks; he's recorded only 2 boards in their past matchups, and that number hasn't changed when he's away. With an impeccable track record of hitting the under-20 for 20 in his last outings-there's little reason to believe he'll buck that trend now. Betting under 6.5 rebounds on Payton feels not just wise, but almost inevitable, given the circumstances.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks in the NBA. The model has generated 3 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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