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Model picks & player props
Chicago Bulls
VS
Golden State Warriors

Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 7:08AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Chase Center, San Francisco
Indoor
Wed 11 Mar 2026, 2:00AM
20
Game markets graded
11
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Under 121.5 (Team Total)
The model graded 31 markets for Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $118 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 97.9%, fair odds 1.02, book price -556, model edge +13.2%. Tip-off Wed 11 Mar 2026, 2:00AM at Chase Center.

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total
Under
121.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Bulls

  • Dailyn Swain GDay-to-day
  • Zach Collins FDay-to-day
  • Josh Giddey GDay-to-day
  • Rob Dillingham GDay-to-day

Golden State Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut
Availability updated Jul 17, 9:31PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Tre Jones Chicago Bulls Assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Matas Buzelis Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tre Jones Chicago Bulls Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Giddey Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandin Podziemski Golden State Warriors Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsChicago Bulls @ Golden State WarriorsNo line posted

Golden State Warriors and Chicago Bulls combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadGolden State Warriors spreadNo line posted

Golden State Warriors (season record) meet Chicago Bulls; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineGolden State Warriors to winNo line posted

Golden State Warriors (season record) host or visit Chicago Bulls; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Chicago Bulls; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Chicago Bulls totalNo line posted

Chicago Bulls averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors — what the model found

Our model graded 31 betting markets for Chicago Bulls at Golden State Warriors — 20 on the game itself and 11 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
11
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 31 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 30 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Golden State Warriors
PlayerStatus
Jimmy Butler III FOUT
Moses Moody GOUT
Chicago Bulls
PlayerStatus
Dailyn Swain GDAY-TO-DAY
Zach Collins FDAY-TO-DAY
Josh Giddey GDAY-TO-DAY
Rob Dillingham GDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls. Includes analysis on key players like Tre Jones. Discover NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls stats and odds.

Tre Jones (Chicago Bulls) Over 4.5 Assists (-161)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Golden State Warriors and the Chicago Bulls, Tre Jones has emerged as a prime candidate for an over bet on assists at 4.5. With an impressive average of 8 assists over his last five games, he's clearly found his rhythm. More notably, when playing away, that number dips slightly to 7.8, but against the Bulls, he's consistently delivered-averaging 6 assists in their previous encounters. Jones has been on fire lately, hitting the over in all of his last seven games, and if you look at just his recent five away performances, he's nailed it five times. The Warriors' fast-paced style should create ample opportunities for him to dish out assists, making the 4.5 line not just reachable but a compelling bet. With those numbers in mind, it's hard to ignore the value here-expect Jones to shine on the court.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Bulls vs Warriors, or as Warriors vs Bulls. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 11 March 2026 at Chase Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 11 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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