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Model picks & player props
Chicago Bulls
VS
Golden State Warriors

Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Chase Center, San Francisco
Indoor
Wed 11 Mar 2026, 2:00AM
20
Game Picks
11
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 121.5 (Team Total Points)
For Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors (NBA), model win probability 97.9%, fair odds 1.02, book price -556, model edge +13.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 11 Mar 2026, 2:00AM at Chase Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
121.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Bulls

  • Noa Essengue FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Wilson FDay-to-day
  • Dailyn Swain GDay-to-day
  • Zach Collins FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Smith FDay-to-day
  • Josh Giddey GDay-to-day
  • Nic Claxton CDay-to-day
  • Isaac Okoro FDay-to-day
  • Rob Dillingham GDay-to-day

Golden State Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut
Availability updated Jul 17, 9:34PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Tre Jones Chicago Bulls Assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Matas Buzelis Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tre Jones Chicago Bulls Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Giddey Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brandin Podziemski Golden State Warriors Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsChicago Bulls @ Golden State WarriorsNo line posted

Golden State Warriors and Chicago Bulls combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadGolden State Warriors spreadNo line posted

Golden State Warriors (season record) meet Chicago Bulls; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineGolden State Warriors to winNo line posted

Golden State Warriors (season record) host or visit Chicago Bulls; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Chicago Bulls; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Chicago Bulls totalNo line posted

Chicago Bulls averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls. Includes analysis on key players like Tre Jones. Discover NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls stats and odds.</p>

Tre Jones (Chicago Bulls) Over 4.5 Assists (-161)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Golden State Warriors and the Chicago Bulls, Tre Jones has emerged as a prime candidate for an over bet on assists at 4.5. With an impressive average of 8 assists over his last five games, he's clearly found his rhythm. More notably, when playing away, that number dips slightly to 7.8, but against the Bulls, he's consistently delivered-averaging 6 assists in their previous encounters. Jones has been on fire lately, hitting the over in all of his last seven games, and if you look at just his recent five away performances, he's nailed it five times. The Warriors' fast-paced style should create ample opportunities for him to dish out assists, making the 4.5 line not just reachable but a compelling bet. With those numbers in mind, it's hard to ignore the value here-expect Jones to shine on the court.

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls : Chicago Bulls Over 100.5 Team Total Points (-526)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Here's the story: the Bulls are heading into the Warriors' den and they're not going quietly. The model's predicting a healthy 108.8 points for the Bulls, a full 8.3 points over the 100.5 mark. This isn't a shot in the dark, it's grounded in hard facts. The Bulls have been charging hard this season, consistently putting up big numbers on offense. Moreover, the game will be on the Warriors' home court, where they've shown a slight tendency to let the opposition rack up a few extra points. With an implied probability of 84%, it's clear that the Bulls are expected to bring their A-Game. So, the bet 'Chicago Bulls Over 100.5' seems like a smart move. It's a bet on the Bulls' offensive prowess and the Warriors' home court generosity.

Tre Jones (Chicago Bulls) Over 2.5 Rebounds (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Chicago Bulls gear up to face the Golden State Warriors, Tre Jones presents a compelling case for hitting the over on his rebounds at 2.5. Jones has been a rebounding dynamo lately, averaging 4.4 boards over his last five games, with a consistent 4.2 when he's on the road. What's even more impressive is his performance against the Warriors; he's averaged 4.6 rebounds against them in their past matchups. With a perfect hit rate in his last three games, he's clearly in a rhythm.The Warriors, while formidable, can sometimes struggle with defensive rebounding, especially against guards who can slip in and grab the boards. Given Jones' recent form and the favorable matchup, expecting him to secure at least three rebounds feels not just reasonable, but likely. This bet aligns well with his upward trajectory and the game dynamics, making it a solid pick.

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls : Golden State Warriors Under 127.5 Team Total Points (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

This bet leans towards the Golden State Warriors scoring fewer than 127.5 points in their matchup against the Chicago Bulls. The reasoning? The Warriors' model prediction forecasts a significantly lower total of around 108.8 points. Despite the Warriors' explosive offense, they're not invincible and the Bulls' defense has been notably tough. Also, keep in mind that in the unpredictable world of sports, the implied probability of this outcome is a solid 87.0%, suggesting a strong likelihood that the Warriors will fall short of the 127.5 point mark. So, while we're still expecting a lively game, the numbers paint a picture of a lower scoring affair for the Warriors than one might initially think.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 11 March 2026 at Chase Center. The model has generated 20 game picks and 11 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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