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The latest Bet Better model pick for Gary Payton II is Over 10.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 67%, implied 50%, edge +17.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 5:24PM UTC
NBA

Gary Payton II

Golden State Warriors

+17.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 10.5 +102 (2.02) · $100→$202
+17.4% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Thu 16 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
13.5 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 66.9% · the book's price implies 49.5% · gap +17.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs66.9%—49.5%1.49+17.4%

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AI Analysis

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Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) Over 10.5 Points + Rebounds (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors roll into Los Angeles to face the Clippers, keep an eye on Gary Payton II for a standout performance. He's been a consistent contributor lately, especially on the road, where he's averaging 11.8 points and 3.4 rebounds over his last five away games. With an impressive hit rate of 10 out of his last 11 games away from home, he's clearly comfortable in hostile territory.Against the Clippers, Payton has historically found opportunities, averaging 4.4 points per game. Considering the intensity of this matchup, it's likely he'll be pushing hard to make an impact. His overall expected stat value of 13.53 points and rebounds suggests that he's poised to exceed the 10.5 mark comfortably. With the Warriors needing him to step up, this is a prime spot for Payton to shine and help your betting slip.

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Pick History & Track Record

Gary Payton II — 2024-25 season averages

Over 73 games in the 2024-25 season, Gary Payton II averaged 6.3 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists in 15.3 minutes per game, shooting 55.5% from the field and 33.9% from three-point range.

6.3
PPG
2.9
RPG
1.4
APG
0.8
SPG
0.2
BPG
15.3
MPG
55.5%
FG%
33.9%
3P%

Gary Payton II — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Gary Payton II has played 19.8 minutes per game and started 20% of them.

19.8
MPG (L5)
3.6
PPG (L5)
20%
Started

Gary Payton II — home vs away scoring

At home Gary Payton II averages 6.6 points per game; on the road, 6.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

6.6
PPG at home
6.1
PPG on the road

Gary Payton II — scoring by opponent

Gary Payton II scores most against the HOU, averaging 7.3 points per game in that matchup.

7.3
HOU
6.7
DAL
6.7
MEM
6.6
SAC
6.3
OKC
6.1
LAL

Gary Payton II — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Gary Payton II has averaged 5.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs MIN16332
10 Mayvs MIN26210
8 May@ MIN11010
6 May@ MIN26854
2 Mayvs HOU20531
30 Apr@ HOU11812
28 Aprvs HOU16234
26 Aprvs HOU211631
23 Apr@ HOU12011
20 Apr@ HOU16731
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Feb 26 Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gary Payton II is Over 10.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.4% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday 16 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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