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The latest Bet Better model pick for Gary Payton II is Over 10.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 67%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +17.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Gary Payton II

Golden State Warriors

+17.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 10.5 +102 (2.02)
+17.4% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Thu 16 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
66.9%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+17.4%
Predicted Value
13.5 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs66.9%—49.5%1.50+17.4%

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AI Analysis

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Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) Over 10.5 Points + Rebounds (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors prepare to face the Los Angeles Clippers, keep an eye on Gary Payton II for the over on points and rebounds at 10.5. He's been a hidden gem lately, averaging 11.8 points and 3.4 rebounds in his last five away games. That's a significant uptick compared to his overall averages, and against a Clippers squad that hasn't exactly stifled perimeter defenders, he's got a prime opportunity to shine.What's more compelling is his incredible consistency; Payton has crushed this prop in 19 of his last 20 games, and when he's on the road, he's hit it in 10 of his last 11. He's also shown he can step up against the Clippers specifically-averaging 4.4 points in their last outings. With an expected stat value of 13.52, he's poised to surpass that 10.5 mark comfortably. This is a spot where Payton can deliver,

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.7avg · last 10
L55.0Szn7.7Home8.0Away7.4Best27
3+84%
8+42%
13+18%
18+8%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 6.7 · hi 17 · lo 0
8117610612025

Gary Payton II is averaging 6.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.7, best 27). He clears 8+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
7.5avg · last 10
L56.2Szn9.2Home9.6Away8.8Best28
4+88%
9+47%
14+21%
19+10%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 7.5 · hi 19 · lo 1
1011959813136

Gary Payton II is averaging 7.5 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.2, best 28). He clears 9+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
2.4avg · last 10
L52.6Szn2.9Home3.0Away2.8Best11
1+93%
3+49%
5+21%
7+8%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.4 · hi 5 · lo 1
3133135113

Gary Payton II is averaging 2.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.9, best 11). He clears 3+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Asts 14.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
26 Feb 26 Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies Rebounds 4.5 Under -172 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gary Payton II is Over 10.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.4% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday 16 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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