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NBA

Gary Payton II

Golden State Warriors

+1.2% Edge
🔥 21 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 6.5 -1250 (1.08)
+1.2% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York
Mon 16 Mar, 12:00AM
Model Probability
93.8%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value
2.7 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Warriors head to Madison Square Garden, all eyes will be on Gary Payton II, but the smart money is on him falling short of 6.5 rebounds. Despite his defensive prowess, Payton has been averaging just 2 rebounds over his last five games, and when he's on the road, that number dips to a mere 1.6. Facing off against the Knicks, who are known for their formidable rebounding, he's only managed 2 boards in their recent matchups, and that's consistent with his away numbers. His recent form shows a perfect 20-for-20 under this mark, and he hasn't surpassed it in his last eight road games. With the Warriors focused on other offensive weapons, it's reasonable to expect Payton will again struggle to make an impact on the glass. This prop bet on the under feels as solid as a well-executed pick-and-roll.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 85.7% (6/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds 6.5 Under -1250 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds 6.5 Under -1250 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds 4.5 Under -159 ✗ MISS
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds Pending
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds Pending
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds Pending

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