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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Hart is Under 11.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 96%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

Josh Hart

New York Knicks

+10.6% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 11.5 -588 (1.17)
+10.6% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
96.1%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+10.6%
Predicted Value
7.2 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds96.1%85.5%1.04+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Hart (New York Knicks) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks prepare to face the Spurs, all eyes will be on Josh Hart, particularly for his rebounding numbers. With the line set at 11.5, the under offers a compelling case. Hart's recent form shows he's averaging 9.8 boards over his last five games, and when we look at his away performances, that number dips slightly to 10. Against the Spurs, he's managed only about 9.6 rebounds per game historically, which suggests the weight of the matchup might not favor him in hitting that high mark.The trend is even more promising: Hart has hit the under in 13 of his last 14 away games. With an expected stat value of just 7.23, it seems like a tall order for him to surpass that 11.5 threshold. Given the Spurs' size and rebounding prowess, it's a prudent move to lean toward the under here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
1.2avg · last 10
L51.2Szn1.1Home1.0Away1.2Best6
1+68%
2+29%
3+10%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.2 · hi 3 · lo 0
1103111301

Josh Hart is averaging 1.2 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.1, best 6). He clears 1+ in 68% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.9avg · last 10
L53.6Szn5.8Home5.6Away5.9Best12
2+98%
4+75%
6+51%
8+23%
10+13%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.9 · hi 9 · lo 3
6595643335

Josh Hart is averaging 4.9 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.8, best 12). He clears 6+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.4avg · last 10
L513.2Szn13.5Home13.2Away13.9Best44
4+95%
9+85%
14+49%
19+17%
24+2%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 12.4 · hi 23 · lo 6
131061415131423106

Josh Hart is averaging 12.4 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.5, best 44). He clears 14+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
17.3avg · last 10
L516.8Szn19.3Home18.8Away19.8Best50
9+98%
14+83%
19+53%
24+21%
29+6%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 17.3 · hi 26 · lo 11
19151519211717261311

Josh Hart is averaging 17.3 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.3, best 50). He clears 19+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
20.8avg · last 10
L521.6Szn22.9Home22.8Away23.0Best52
13+95%
18+77%
23+53%
28+24%
33+7%
Game log vs O 22.5avg 20.8 · hi 29 · lo 15
20171724222325291615

Josh Hart is averaging 20.8 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.9, best 52). He clears 23+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
25.7avg · last 10
L525.2Szn28.7Home28.5Away29.0Best58
19+92%
24+72%
29+46%
34+24%
39+11%
Game log vs O 28.5avg 25.7 · hi 32 · lo 19
26222629282728321920

Josh Hart is averaging 25.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 28.7, best 58). He clears 29+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.4avg · last 10
L58.4Szn9.4Home9.7Away9.2Best20
5+91%
7+77%
9+57%
11+38%
13+20%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 8.4 · hi 11 · lo 6
77111071011669

Josh Hart is averaging 8.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.4, best 20). He clears 9+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
13.3avg · last 10
L512.0Szn15.2Home15.3Away15.1Best29
9+95%
12+72%
15+49%
18+29%
21+16%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 13.3 · hi 20 · lo 9
131220151314149914

Josh Hart is averaging 13.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.2, best 29). He clears 15+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 11.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -125 ✗ MISS
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Rebounds 10.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josh Hart (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Josh Hart is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Josh Hart is Under 11.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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