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Model picks & player props
Miami Heat
VS
Indiana Pacers

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:37AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Indiana Pacers Moneyline +230

The model graded 2 markets for Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $330 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.6%
The price says30.3%
Best price+230
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Indiana Pacers High62% chance +230
Total Points High99% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NBA game on today's board →
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Indiana Pacers
+230
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Indiana PacersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Heat

  • Bam Adebayo CDay-to-day
  • Trevor Keels GDay-to-day
  • Ryan Conwell GDay-to-day
  • Myron Gardner FDay-to-day
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo FDay-to-day

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut
Availability updated Jul 28, 4:16PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsMiami Heat @ Indiana PacersNo line posted

Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadIndiana Pacers spreadNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) meet Miami Heat; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineIndiana Pacers to winNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) host or visit Miami Heat; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Miami Heat; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Miami Heat totalNo line posted

Miami Heat averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers — recent results

Indiana Pacers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Miami Heat have won 2 of their last 5.

Indiana Pacers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L121–133DETHome
L94–105PHIHome
W123–94BKNAway
L104–124MINHome
L108–117CLEAway
Miami Heat — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L126–127CHAAway
W143–117ATLHome
W140–117WSHAway
L114–128TORAway
L95–121TORAway

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Indiana Pacers won 2, Miami Heat won 0.

DateIndiana PacersMiami HeatWinner
Mar 29135118Indiana Pacers
Jan 1112399Indiana Pacers

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Indiana Pacers
PlayerStatus
Tyrese Haliburton GDAY-TO-DAY
Johnny Furphy GOUT
Miami Heat
PlayerStatus
Bam Adebayo CDAY-TO-DAY
Trevor Keels GDAY-TO-DAY
Ryan Conwell GDAY-TO-DAY
Myron Gardner FDAY-TO-DAY
Giannis Antetokounmpo FDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Heat vs Pacers, or as Pacers vs Heat. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Indiana Pacers 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
29 Mar 2026Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers135–118Indiana Pacers
11 Jan 2026Miami Heat @ Indiana Pacers123–99Indiana Pacers
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