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Model picks & player props
New York Knicks
VS
Toronto Raptors

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:11PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Wed 4 Mar 2026, 12:30AM
18
Game Picks
10
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 103.5 (Team Total Points)
For New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors (NBA), model win probability 99.0%, fair odds 1.01, book price -526, model edge +16.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 4 Mar 2026, 12:30AM at Scotiabank Arena.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Over
99.5
+ 17 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto RaptorsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Knicks

  • Mohamed Diawara FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Brunson GDay-to-day

Toronto Raptors

  • Nate Bittle CDay-to-day
  • Alijah Martin GDay-to-day
  • Allen Graves FDay-to-day
  • Chucky Hepburn GDay-to-day
  • Collin Murray-Boyles FDay-to-day
  • Brandon Ingram FDay-to-day
  • Immanuel Quickley GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 11:38PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jamal Shead Toronto Raptors Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Hart New York Knicks 3-Pointers 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jalen Brunson New York Knicks Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
OG Anunoby New York Knicks Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jalen Brunson New York Knicks Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsNew York Knicks @ Toronto RaptorsNo line posted

Toronto Raptors and New York Knicks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadToronto Raptors spreadNo line posted

Toronto Raptors (season record) meet New York Knicks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineToronto Raptors to winNo line posted

Toronto Raptors (season record) host or visit New York Knicks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Toronto Raptors totalNo line posted

Toronto Raptors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New York Knicks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)New York Knicks totalNo line posted

New York Knicks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Toronto Raptors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Toronto Raptors playing New York Knicks. Includes analysis on key players like Jamal Shead. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks stats and odds.</p>

Jamal Shead (Toronto Raptors) Over 5.5 Points (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Alright, ladies and gents, let's talk about the Raptors' secret weapon, Jamal Shead. Now, we're not talking high-flyer, but the guy's got a knack for putting up points when it matters. He's been consistently outperforming the 5.5 point line, hitting it in four straight games overall. And when you look at his home performances? He's been on fire, breezing past the mark in six out of his last seven home games. But the real clincher here is how he lights up against the Knicks. He's averaged 10 points in their last five meetings, but hold onto your hats folks, because when he meets them on his home turf, that average skyrockets to 16 points! So, with Shead's track record, that over 5.5 points bet for the upcoming Raptors-Knicks showdown looks pretty enticing, wouldn't you say?

Jamal Shead (Toronto Raptors) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-137)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Picture this: Jamal Shead, energized by the roaring Toronto Raptors' fans, poised and ready to make his mark against the New York Knicks this Wednesday. Now, let's delve into why betting on Shead to have over 7.5 combined points and rebounds is a wise move. The young star has been on a hot streak, consistently hitting his stride in the last four games. In fact, he's surpassed this mark in four of his last five home games. Moreover, when playing against the Knicks, Shead seems to have their number, averaging a solid 10 points and 1.5 rebounds. Remarkably, his performance skyrockets at home against this particular opponent, with averages rising to 16 points and 3 rebounds. With Shead's strong recent track record, and his noted success against the Knicks, particularly on home turf, there's a compelling case for him going over 7.5 points and rebounds in the upcoming matchup.

Karl-Anthony Towns (New York Knicks) Yes Double-Double (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Karl-Anthony Towns is an absolute beast when he hits the court, and the Knicks' upcoming face-off against the Raptors is no exception. Consistency? Check. KAT has been on a tear lately, averaging 22.8 points and 12.2 rebounds per game overall in his last five games. The road doesn't seem to phase him either; his away game stats are even more impressive, boasting an average of 22 points and 13.2 rebounds. He's an undeniable double-double machine.But what about his performance against the Raptors specifically? Well, he's been bringing the heat there too. In his last five games versus the Raptors, he's averaged an incredible 25.6 points and 13.6 rebounds. On Toronto's court, those numbers rise to 23.3 points and a whopping 15 rebounds. KAT is on track to deliver a double-double in this matchup, making this a prime betting opportunity. Don't miss out

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Under 121.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Under 120.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Over 99.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Over 100.5 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Team Total Points Over 103.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 4 March 2026 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 18 game picks and 10 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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