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Jalen Brunson

New York Knicks

Value call

Jalen Brunson (New York Knicks) has one live pick today: over 21.5 points that pays $150 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
26.7 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 39.2% · before adjusting for past results 88.7% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap -27.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Fri 23 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Jalen Brunson
over 21.5 points
Points Over 21.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 39 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.00 Odds-200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Brunson is Over 21.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 39%, the price says 67%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 8:38AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points88.7%39.2%66.7%2.55+22.1%

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AI Analysis

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Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks: Jalen Brunson Over 21.5 Points (-200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jalen Brunson has been on a roll lately, showing he can score big against tough teams. With the way the Boston Celtics play, they tend to give up plenty of three-point attempts and rebounds. This means Brunson has a solid chance to rack up points as he finds his rhythm. While the Celtics are tough competitors, they also allow players to get open looks. The biggest risk here is that the game might get close, which can affect how much time Brunson gets on the court. Still, with his recent form and the opportunities available, betting on him to score over 21.5 points seems like a smart pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jalen Brunson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 76 games in the 2024-25 season, Jalen Brunson averaged 26.2 points, 3.0 rebounds and 7.3 assists in 35.7 minutes per game, shooting 47.8% from the field and 37.9% from three-point range.

26.2
PPG
3.0
RPG
7.3
APG
0.9
SPG
0.1
BPG
35.7
MPG
47.8%
FG%
37.9%
3P%

Jalen Brunson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jalen Brunson has played 40.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

40.8
MPG (L5)
30.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jalen Brunson — points hit rate

Jalen Brunson has scored over 11.5 points in 47% of 283 career games.

o11.547%
o12.543%
o15.525%

Jalen Brunson — home vs away scoring

At home Jalen Brunson averages 25.8 points per game; on the road, 26.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.8
PPG at home
26.7
PPG on the road

Jalen Brunson — scoring by opponent

Jalen Brunson scores most against the DET, averaging 25.5 points per game in that matchup.

25.5
DET
24.9
IND
24.3
MIL
23.9
PHI
22.9
WSH
22.9
CHI

Jalen Brunson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jalen Brunson has averaged 30.1 points, 4.0 rebounds and 8.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs BOS4039512
10 Mayvs BOS402747
7 May@ BOS381737
5 May@ BOS442945
1 May@ DET424047
29 Aprvs DET361637
27 Apr@ DET3932511
24 Apr@ DET393079
21 Aprvs DET443737
19 Aprvs DET403428
Quick answers:How many assists does Jalen Brunson average?How many points does Jalen Brunson average?How many rebounds does Jalen Brunson average?How many three-pointers does Jalen Brunson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Oct 26 New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics Points 21.5 Over -200 ✗ MISS
20 Oct 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks Points 23.5 Over -189 ✗ MISS
20 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Pts + Asts 43.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Points — — — Pending
20 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
20 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Brunson (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Brunson is Over 21.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics on Friday 23 October at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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