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Jalen Brunson

New York Knicks

+42.2% Edge
🔥 25 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 40.5 -102 (1.98)
+42.2% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York
Tue 21 Apr, 12:00AM
Model Probability
92.7%
Implied Probability
50.5%
Model Edge
+42.2%
Predicted Value
30.4 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Jalen Brunson (New York Knicks) Under 40.5 Points + Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks gear up to face the Hawks, all eyes will be on Jalen Brunson, but betting under 40.5 on his combined points and rebounds makes a lot of sense. Despite being a solid contributor, Brunson's recent averages suggest he might not hit that lofty total. Over his last five games, he's been netting about 22.6 points and grabbing 2.8 rebounds, which collectively puts him under that threshold. At home, he's stepped it up slightly with 25.2 points, yet his rebounds dwindle to only 1.2. Historically, against the Hawks, he's averaged just 23.2 points and 2.8 boards at Madison Square Garden. Given his perfect hit rate of 20 for 20 on the under across his last matches, the trends suggest he may struggle to surpass 40.5 against a tough Atlanta defense. It's a calculated play that feels right in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (18 picks) 88.9% (16/18)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Apr 26 Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 29.5 Over -109 ✗ MISS
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Assists 10.5 Under -1111 ✓ HIT
05 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ New York Knicks Pts + Asts 29.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
04 Mar 26 New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors Pts + Asts Pending
01 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Brunson (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 18 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 88.9% (16/18). Jalen Brunson is currently on a 25-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jalen Brunson is Under 40.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +42.2% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks on Tuesday 21 April at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.