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Model picks & player props
NBA
FedExForum, Memphis
Indoor
Wed 25 Feb 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Golden State Warriors
VS
Memphis Grizzlies

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 4 markets for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies and backs Memphis Grizzlies hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $250.

2
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Memphis Grizzlies
to win
Memphis Grizzlies Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$25.00Best price+150
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.5%
The price says40.0%

The model graded 4 markets for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $250 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 25 Feb 2026, 7:30 PM ET at FedExForum.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Memphis Grizzlies Lean46% chance +150
Team Total Members only High89% chance Members
Assists × 1 prop Highup to 76% Members
Rebounds × 1 prop Highup to 69% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NBA game on today's board →

Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies last met on Wed 25 Feb 2026: Golden State Warriors won 133-112. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NBA game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Memphis Grizzlies
+150
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Memphis GrizzliesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Warriors

  • Gary Payton II GDay-to-day
  • Georges Niang FDay-to-day
  • De'Anthony Melton GDay-to-day
  • Kristaps Porzingis CDay-to-day
  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Isaiah Stewart COut
Availability updated Oct 10, 2:41AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ty Jerome Cleveland Cavaliers Assists
Gary Payton II Golden State Warriors Rebounds

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsGolden State Warriors @ Memphis GrizzliesNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMemphis Grizzlies spreadNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) meet Golden State Warriors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMemphis Grizzlies to winNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) host or visit Golden State Warriors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies — 2 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies — recent results

Memphis Grizzlies have won 2 of their last 5 games; Golden State Warriors have won 2 of their last 5.

Memphis Grizzlies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W104–100CHIAway
L118–122ORLHome
W132–123ATLAway
L101–132HOUAway
L101–147UTAHAway
Golden State Warriors — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W111–106SACHome
L118–123PORAway
W124–98LALHome
L101–104LACAway
L96–111PHXAway

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Memphis Grizzlies won 0, Golden State Warriors won 2.

DateMemphis GrizzliesGolden State WarriorsWinner
Feb 26112133Golden State Warriors
Feb 10113114Golden State Warriors

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerStatus
Micah Peavy GDAY-TO-DAY
Isaiah Stewart COUT
Golden State Warriors
PlayerStatus
Gary Payton II GDAY-TO-DAY
Georges Niang FDAY-TO-DAY
De'Anthony Melton GDAY-TO-DAY
Kristaps Porzingis CDAY-TO-DAY
Jimmy Butler III FOUT
Moses Moody GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Memphis Grizzlies playing Golden State Warriors. Includes analysis on key players like Gary Payton II. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors stats and odds.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors : Memphis Grizzlies win (+150)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Memphis Grizzlies host the Golden State Warriors, it's going to be a showdown. Both teams have shown similar form against each other recently, sharing a 2-2 record in their last four encounters. But, here’s the kicker that tilts the scales in favor of Memphis - their home performance. The Grizzlies have a commendable 4-1 record in their last 5 home games, a strong indicator of their comfort on home turf. They've also been scoring an impressive 124.6 points per game at home, a tad below the Warriors' away score of 126.8, but enough to keep the competition fierce. The Warriors may have a slight edge in recent form, but given the Grizzlies' compelling home performance, it's tough not to back the home team. So, let's ride with the Grizzlies on the Moneyline.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Warriors vs Grizzlies, or as Grizzlies vs Warriors. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 25 February 2026 at FedExForum. The model has generated 2 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Golden State Warriors 2–0 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 26 Feb 2026, Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies: the Warriors won 133-112.

DateGameScoreWinner
26 Feb 2026Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies112–133Golden State Warriors
10 Feb 2026Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors114–113Golden State Warriors
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