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Model picks & player props
Golden State Warriors
VS
Memphis Grizzlies

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 7:37PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
FedExForum, Memphis
Indoor
Thu 26 Feb 2026, 12:30AM
2
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Memphis Grizzlies Moneyline +150

The model graded 4 markets for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $250 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 26 Feb 2026, 12:30AM at FedExForum.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.5%
The price says40.0%
Best price+150
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Memphis Grizzlies Lean46% chance +150
Team Total High89% chance —
Assists × 1 prop Highup to 76% —
Rebounds × 1 prop Highup to 69% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NBA game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Memphis Grizzlies Under 122.5 · $100 returned $114

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Memphis Grizzlies
+150
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Memphis GrizzliesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Scotty Pippen Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Walter Clayton Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Karim Lopez FDay-to-day
  • Richie Saunders GOut
  • Jaylen Wells FDay-to-day
  • Zach Edey CDay-to-day
Availability updated Aug 24, 3:23PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ty Jerome Cleveland Cavaliers Assists
Gary Payton II Golden State Warriors Rebounds

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsGolden State Warriors @ Memphis GrizzliesNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMemphis Grizzlies spreadNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) meet Golden State Warriors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMemphis Grizzlies to winNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) host or visit Golden State Warriors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies — 2 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies — recent results

Memphis Grizzlies have won 0 of their last 5 games; Golden State Warriors have won 1 of their last 5.

Memphis Grizzlies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L101–132HOUAway
L101–147UTAHAway
L119–136DENAway
L126–142CLEHome
L115–131MILAway
Golden State Warriors — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L96–111PHXAway
W126–121LACAway
L110–115LACAway
L118–124SACAway
L103–119LALHome

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Memphis Grizzlies won 0, Golden State Warriors won 2.

DateMemphis GrizzliesGolden State WarriorsWinner
Feb 26112133Golden State Warriors
Feb 10113114Golden State Warriors

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerStatus
Scotty Pippen Jr. GDAY-TO-DAY
Walter Clayton Jr. GDAY-TO-DAY
Karim Lopez FDAY-TO-DAY
Richie Saunders GOUT
Jaylen Wells FDAY-TO-DAY
Zach Edey CDAY-TO-DAY
Golden State Warriors
PlayerStatus
Jimmy Butler III FOUT
Moses Moody GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Memphis Grizzlies playing Golden State Warriors. Includes analysis on key players like Gary Payton II. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors stats and odds.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors : Memphis Grizzlies win (+150)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Memphis Grizzlies host the Golden State Warriors, it's going to be a showdown. Both teams have shown similar form against each other recently, sharing a 2-2 record in their last four encounters. But, here’s the kicker that tilts the scales in favor of Memphis - their home performance. The Grizzlies have a commendable 4-1 record in their last 5 home games, a strong indicator of their comfort on home turf. They've also been scoring an impressive 124.6 points per game at home, a tad below the Warriors' away score of 126.8, but enough to keep the competition fierce. The Warriors may have a slight edge in recent form, but given the Grizzlies' compelling home performance, it's tough not to back the home team. So, let's ride with the Grizzlies on the Moneyline.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
26 Feb 26 Team Total Under 122.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Warriors vs Grizzlies, or as Grizzlies vs Warriors. The most recent game between them was Thursday 26 February 2026 at FedExForum. The model has generated 2 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Golden State Warriors 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
26 Feb 2026Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies112–133Golden State Warriors
10 Feb 2026Memphis Grizzlies @ Golden State Warriors114–113Golden State Warriors
Today's selected board

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