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Model picks & player props
Golden State Warriors
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:21AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
7
Game Picks
4
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Golden State Warriors 6.5 (Point Spread)
For Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA), model win probability 81.1%, fair odds 1.23, book price +100, model edge +31.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Golden State Warriors
1.5
-120
+ 6 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Golden State WarriorsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Golden State WarriorsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Golden State WarriorsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New Orleans PelicansMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Golden State Warriors

  • Jimmy Butler III FOut
  • Moses Moody GOut

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Zion Williamson New Orleans Pelicans Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Pat Spencer Golden State Warriors 3-Pointers 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Zion Williamson New Orleans Pelicans Blocks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Saddiq Bey Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsGolden State Warriors @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Golden State Warriors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Golden State Warriors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Golden State Warriors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Golden State Warriors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Golden State Warriors totalNo line posted

Golden State Warriors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

<p>Latest NBA betting preview: New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Saddiq Bey. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors stats and odds.</p>

Saddiq Bey (Atlanta Hawks) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

There's a reason we're taking a keen interest in Saddiq Bey for this showdown between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Golden State Warriors. Bey has been bringing the heat lately, with an impressive overall average of 16 points and nearly 7 rebounds in his last five games. Even on the road, he's not shy to shine, racking up an average of 12.6 points and 6 rebounds. Furthermore, when facing off against the Warriors, he almost always ups his game, scoring an average of 17.8 points and grabbing 6 rebounds. This consistent performance gives him a solid hit rate that's hard to ignore. If Bey keeps this momentum, there's a high chance he could easily surpass the 18.5 points + rebounds mark set by Draftkings. Don't sleep on this opportunity, folks - Bey could be your ticket to a winning wager.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. The model has generated 7 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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