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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mikal Bridges is Over 11.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 73%, for a model edge of +15.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:59AM UTC
NBA

Mikal Bridges

New York Knicks

+15.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 11.5 -270 (1.37) · $100→$137
+15.8% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.8%
Implied Probability
73.0%
Model Edge
+15.8%
Predicted Value
19.9 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs88.8%73.0%1.13+15.8%

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AI Analysis

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Mikal Bridges (New York Knicks) Over 11.5 Points + Rebounds (-270)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Mikal Bridges, the numbers tell a compelling story. Set to face off against the San Antonio Spurs, he's been in a groove lately, averaging 15.6 points and 4.4 rebounds on the road in his last five games. That's a strong foundation, especially considering he has a knack for elevating his performance against this Spurs squad, where he's averaged 14 points and 5.2 rebounds in their last encounters away from home. Bridges has hit the Over on his points and rebounds total in 11 of his last 13 games, and remarkably, he's a perfect 7-for-7 in away games during that stretch. With an expected stat value of nearly 20, and a solid 73% implied probability, it's hard to ignore the value here. Expect Bridges to not just meet but exceed that 11.5 mark, especially as he continues to shine in a pivotal role for the Knicks.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.8avg · last 10
L54.0Szn3.6Home3.7Away3.6Best9
2+85%
4+48%
6+18%
8+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 2.8 · hi 7 · lo 0
2031237523

Mikal Bridges is averaging 2.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.6, best 9). He clears 4+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
15.4avg · last 10
L516.4Szn17.4Home19.2Away15.5Best45
7+93%
12+80%
17+54%
22+26%
27+13%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 15.4 · hi 25 · lo 8
81920817258141223

Mikal Bridges is averaging 15.4 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.4, best 45). He clears 17+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
20.7avg · last 10
L521.8Szn20.8Home22.6Away18.9Best55
11+90%
16+76%
21+49%
26+27%
31+8%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 20.7 · hi 30 · lo 10
10242714232914211530

Mikal Bridges is averaging 20.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.8, best 55). He clears 21+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
23.5avg · last 10
L525.8Szn24.4Home26.3Away22.5Best59
14+91%
19+77%
24+57%
29+28%
34+10%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 23.5 · hi 33 · lo 12
12243015253221261733

Mikal Bridges is averaging 23.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.4, best 59). He clears 24+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
8.1avg · last 10
L59.4Szn7.0Home7.1Away7.0Best18
1+99%
4+87%
7+53%
10+24%
13+3%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 8.1 · hi 13 · lo 4
45107871312510

Mikal Bridges is averaging 8.1 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.0, best 18). He clears 7+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
2.1avg · last 10
L52.4Szn1.0Home0.9Away1.2Best7
1+61%
2+30%
3+12%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 2.1 · hi 4 · lo 0
0333003324

Mikal Bridges is averaging 2.1 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.0, best 7). He clears 1+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 11.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points 9.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points 10.5 Over -122 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Mikal Bridges (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mikal Bridges is Over 11.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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