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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Over 7.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +17.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:54AM UTC
NBA

Mitchell Robinson

New York Knicks

+17.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 7.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+17.1% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.9%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+17.1%
Predicted Value
11.9 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs73.9%56.8%1.35+17.1%

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AI Analysis

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Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the New York Knicks face off against the San Antonio Spurs, keep a keen eye on Mitchell Robinson for the points and rebounds prop set at 7.5. Despite averaging just 4.8 points and 5.6 rebounds in his last five games, Robinson's away performance tells a different story; he's been a force on the boards, pulling down an impressive 7.6 rebounds against this Spurs squad. With a hit rate of 8 out of his last 10 games, Robinson thrives in this matchup, especially in away games where he's scored above his average. The Spurs' interior defense can be vulnerable, and Robinson's athleticism should shine through. The numbers suggest he's primed for a breakout performance, making the over on 7.5 a compelling bet as he looks to assert himself in this crucial game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.1avg · last 10
L54.0Szn4.7Home5.7Away3.7Best23
5+41%
10+15%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.1 · hi 13 · lo 0
60201313664

Mitchell Robinson is averaging 4.1 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.7, best 23). He clears 5+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
10.6avg · last 10
L510.8Szn10.9Home12.5Away9.2Best40
1+100%
6+81%
11+48%
16+15%
21+11%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 10.6 · hi 24 · lo 3
1276324410141412

Mitchell Robinson is averaging 10.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.9, best 40). He clears 11+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
6.5avg · last 10
L56.8Szn6.1Home6.8Away5.5Best21
2+100%
4+81%
6+48%
8+30%
10+15%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 6.5 · hi 11 · lo 3
67431137888

Mitchell Robinson is averaging 6.5 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.1, best 21). He clears 6+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 7.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over +100 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 9.5 Over +136 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Over 7.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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