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NBA

Mitchell Robinson

Boston Celtics

Value call
🔥 7 Consecutive Hits

Mitchell Robinson (Boston Celtics) has one live pick today: under 12.5 pts rebs that pays $240 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
11.5 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.5% · before adjusting for past results 62.5% · the book's price implies 41.7% · gap +10.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Mitchell Robinson
under 12.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Under 12.5 +140 (2.40) · $100→$240
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$24.00 Odds+140
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Under 12.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 42%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 10:41AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs62.5%52.5%41.7%1.91+20.8%

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AI Analysis

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Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls: Mitchell Robinson Under 12.5 Pts + Rebs (+140)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Mitchell Robinson has been a solid player lately, but he might struggle against the Boston Celtics. They give up a lot of three-point shots but are also known for controlling the boards, allowing only slightly more rebounds than the average team. This can make it tough for Robinson to rack up points and rebounds together. With the Celtics forcing turnovers at a lower rate than the league average, Chicago might not have many extra chances to score either. Since the teams are closely matched and both can play tough defense, taking the under on Robinson's points and rebounds at 12.5 feels like a smart move, even if it's not a sure thing. The most concrete risk here is that Robinson could surprise everyone with a big game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Mitchell Robinson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 27 games in the 2024-25 season, Mitchell Robinson averaged 4.7 points, 6.1 rebounds and 0.6 assists in 17.6 minutes per game, shooting 61.2% from the field.

4.7
PPG
6.1
RPG
0.6
APG
0.9
SPG
0.8
BPG
17.6
MPG
61.2%
FG%

Mitchell Robinson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Mitchell Robinson has played 20.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

20.0
MPG (L5)
4.0
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Mitchell Robinson — points hit rate

Mitchell Robinson has scored over 11.5 points in 23% of 231 career games.

o11.523%
o12.518%
o15.510%

Mitchell Robinson — home vs away scoring

At home Mitchell Robinson averages 5.7 points per game; on the road, 3.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.7
PPG at home
3.7
PPG on the road

Mitchell Robinson — scoring by opponent

Mitchell Robinson scores most against the ORL, averaging 9.5 points per game in that matchup.

9.5
ORL
8.8
ATL
8.7
CHA
8.5
BKN
8.0
WSH
7.9
CHI

Mitchell Robinson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Mitchell Robinson has averaged 4.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 0.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs BOS25482
10 Mayvs BOS19681
7 May@ BOS22680
5 May@ BOS21370
1 May@ DET13130
29 Aprvs DET2313110
27 Apr@ DET9030
24 Apr@ DET16240
21 Aprvs DET20071
19 Aprvs DET18660
Quick answers:How many assists does Mitchell Robinson average?How many points does Mitchell Robinson average?How many rebounds does Mitchell Robinson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Oct 26 Chicago Bulls @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 12.5 Under +140 ✗ MISS
20 Oct 26 Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons Points 4.5 Under +170 ✓ HIT
20 Oct 26 Boston Celtics @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 13.5 Under +120 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
13 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
13 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mitchell Robinson (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Mitchell Robinson is currently on a 7-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Under 12.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bulls vs Boston Celtics on Monday 26 October at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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