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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Over 7.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +17.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:03PM UTC
NBA

Mitchell Robinson

New York Knicks

+17.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 7.5 -132 (1.76)
+17.1% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
73.9%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+17.1%
Predicted Value
11.9 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs73.9%56.8%1.35+17.1%

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AI Analysis

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Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Knicks head into San Antonio, all eyes should be on Mitchell Robinson to surpass 7.5 combined points and rebounds. The Spurs present a favorable matchup, especially considering Robinson's recent form; he's been a reliable asset, hitting this mark in 8 of his last 10 games. Despite averaging just under 5 points and 5.6 rebounds away, he's thrived against the Spurs, posting an impressive 7.6 rebounds per game in away matchups against them. His ability to clean the glass and contribute offensively makes him a dual threat-especially as the Spurs struggle to contain athletic bigs. With the Knicks looking to solidify their playoff positioning, expect Robinson to step up, leveraging his size and skill to push past that 7.5 threshold. This isn't just a hunch; it's backed by a 56.8% implied probability, making it a solid choice for your betting ticket.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.1avg · last 10
L54.0Szn4.7Home5.7Away3.7Best23
5+41%
10+15%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.1 · hi 13 · lo 0
60201313664

Mitchell Robinson is averaging 4.1 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.7, best 23). He clears 5+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
10.6avg · last 10
L510.8Szn10.9Home12.5Away9.2Best40
1+100%
6+81%
11+48%
16+15%
21+11%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 10.6 · hi 24 · lo 3
1276324410141412

Mitchell Robinson is averaging 10.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.9, best 40). He clears 11+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
6.5avg · last 10
L56.8Szn6.1Home6.8Away5.5Best21
2+100%
4+81%
6+48%
8+30%
10+15%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 6.5 · hi 11 · lo 3
67431137888

Mitchell Robinson is averaging 6.5 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.1, best 21). He clears 6+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 7.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over -101 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 9.5 Over +136 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Over 7.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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