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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Over 7.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 57%, edge +17.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 6:07PM UTC
NBA

Mitchell Robinson

New York Knicks

+17.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 7.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+17.1% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
11.9 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.9% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +17.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs73.9%56.8%1.35+17.1%

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AI Analysis

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Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the New York Knicks face off against the San Antonio Spurs, keep a keen eye on Mitchell Robinson for the points and rebounds prop set at 7.5. Despite averaging just 4.8 points and 5.6 rebounds in his last five games, Robinson's away performance tells a different story; he's been a force on the boards, pulling down an impressive 7.6 rebounds against this Spurs squad. With a hit rate of 8 out of his last 10 games, Robinson thrives in this matchup, especially in away games where he's scored above his average. The Spurs' interior defense can be vulnerable, and Robinson's athleticism should shine through. The numbers suggest he's primed for a breakout performance, making the over on 7.5 a compelling bet as he looks to assert himself in this crucial game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mitchell Robinson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 27 games in the 2024-25 season, Mitchell Robinson averaged 4.7 points, 6.1 rebounds and 0.6 assists in 17.6 minutes per game, shooting 61.2% from the field.

4.7
PPG
6.1
RPG
0.6
APG
0.9
SPG
0.8
BPG
17.6
MPG
61.2%
FG%

Mitchell Robinson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Mitchell Robinson has played 20.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

20.0
MPG (L5)
4.0
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Mitchell Robinson — points hit rate

Mitchell Robinson has scored over 11.5 points in 23% of 231 career games.

o11.523%
o12.518%
o15.510%

Mitchell Robinson — home vs away scoring

At home Mitchell Robinson averages 5.7 points per game; on the road, 3.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.7
PPG at home
3.7
PPG on the road

Mitchell Robinson — scoring by opponent

Mitchell Robinson scores most against the ORL, averaging 9.5 points per game in that matchup.

9.5
ORL
8.8
ATL
8.7
CHA
8.5
BKN
8.0
WSH
7.9
CHI

Mitchell Robinson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Mitchell Robinson has averaged 4.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 0.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs BOS25482
10 Mayvs BOS19681
7 May@ BOS22680
5 May@ BOS21370
1 May@ DET13130
29 Aprvs DET2313110
27 Apr@ DET9030
24 Apr@ DET16240
21 Aprvs DET20071
19 Aprvs DET18660
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 7.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Over 7.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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