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The latest Bet Better model pick for Landry Shamet is Over 6.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +20.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
NBA

Landry Shamet

New York Knicks

+20.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 6.5 -106 (1.94)
+20.4% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.0%
Implied Probability
51.5%
Model Edge
+20.4%
Predicted Value
9.9 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.0%—51.5%1.39+20.4%

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AI Analysis

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Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 6.5 Points (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks head to San Antonio, Landry Shamet is primed for a standout performance. Averaging nearly 10 points over his last five games, he shines brighter on the road, racking up an impressive 13.6 points per game in away contests. What's particularly encouraging is his recent efficiency against the Spurs; in their last matchup, Shamet scored 8.8 points, and he's hit the over on this line in six consecutive road games. With the Knicks needing every bit of scoring depth to compete against a Spurs team that can put up points in a hurry, Shamet's role is crucial. His hit rate is a robust 70% over the last ten games, and with an expected stat value nudging towards double digits, placing a bet on him to score over 6.5 points looks like a savvy play. This is a classic case of a player stepping up when it matters most.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.3avg · last 10
L50.4Szn5.2Home4.7Away5.9Best31
5+49%
10+16%
15+5%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 6.3 · hi 29 · lo 0
539152920000

Landry Shamet is averaging 6.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.2, best 31). He clears 5+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
7.1avg · last 10
L50.4Szn6.3Home5.8Away7.0Best33
1+84%
6+44%
11+20%
16+9%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.1 · hi 31 · lo 0
659183120000

Landry Shamet is averaging 7.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.3, best 33). He clears 6+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.8avg · last 10
L50.0Szn1.1Home1.1Away1.1Best9
1+62%
3+13%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 3 · lo 0
1203200000

Landry Shamet is averaging 0.8 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.1, best 9). He clears 1+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.0avg · last 10
L50.0Szn1.6Home1.5Away1.8Best10
2+53%
5+4%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
1223200000

Landry Shamet is averaging 1.0 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 10). He clears 2+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points 6.5 Over -106 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over -112 ✗ MISS
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over -132 ✗ MISS
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Landry Shamet is Over 6.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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