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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Landry Shamet is Over 8.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +18.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 23, 5:46PM UTC
NBA

Landry Shamet

New York Knicks

+18.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 8.5 -111 (1.90)
+18.9% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
71.5%
Implied Probability
52.6%
Model Edge
+18.9%
Predicted Value
12.4 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs71.5%52.6%1.40+18.9%

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Landry Shamet, he's been a sneaky asset for the Knicks lately, especially on the road. Over his last six away games, he's hit this over of 8.5 points and rebounds every single time, showcasing his ability to step up in unfamiliar arenas. Against the Spurs, he's averaging nearly 9 points when playing away, and his recent form shows he's been more than just a bench contributor. With an overall average of 9 points and 1.8 rebounds over his last five outings, Shamet is not just scoring but also finding ways to contribute on the boards. The Spurs are a team that can be vulnerable to perimeter shooting, which bodes well for a player like Shamet, who thrives in those opportunities. Given his current trajectory and the potential for a high-scoring game, taking the over on his points plus rebounds feels like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.3avg · last 10
L50.4Szn5.2Home4.7Away5.9Best31
5+49%
10+16%
15+5%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 6.3 · hi 29 · lo 0
539152920000

Landry Shamet is averaging 6.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.2, best 31). He clears 5+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
7.1avg · last 10
L50.4Szn6.3Home5.8Away7.0Best33
1+84%
6+44%
11+20%
16+9%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.1 · hi 31 · lo 0
659183120000

Landry Shamet is averaging 7.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.3, best 33). He clears 6+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.8avg · last 10
L50.0Szn1.1Home1.1Away1.1Best9
1+62%
3+13%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 3 · lo 0
1203200000

Landry Shamet is averaging 0.8 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.1, best 9). He clears 1+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.0avg · last 10
L50.0Szn1.6Home1.5Away1.8Best10
2+53%
5+4%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
1223200000

Landry Shamet is averaging 1.0 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 10). He clears 2+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over -111 ✗ MISS
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points 6.5 Over -106 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 9.5 Over -106 ✗ MISS
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Landry Shamet is Over 8.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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