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NBA
Denver Nuggets
VS
Dallas Mavericks

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 3 markets for Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks and backs Dallas Mavericks -1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $193.

3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Dallas Mavericks
to win by 2+ points
Dallas Mavericks -1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.26Best price-108
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win77.9%
The price says51.8%

The model graded 3 markets for Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $193 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Dallas Mavericks -1.5 High78% chance -108
Moneyline Members only High68% chance Members
Team Total Members only High92% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Dallas Mavericks
-1.5
-108
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas MavericksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas MavericksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Denver Nuggets

  • Alpha Diallo FOut
  • Spencer Jones FOut
  • Julian Strawther GOut

Dallas Mavericks

  • Sergio de Larrea FOut
  • Santi Aldama FOut
  • Tarik Biberovic FOut
  • Dereck Lively II COut
Availability updated Oct 31, 12:42AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDenver Nuggets @ Dallas MavericksNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks and Denver Nuggets combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadDallas Mavericks spreadNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks (season record) meet Denver Nuggets; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineDallas Mavericks to winNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks (season record) host or visit Denver Nuggets; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Denver Nuggets; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Denver Nuggets totalNo line posted

Denver Nuggets averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks — recent results

Dallas Mavericks have won 4 of their last 5 games; Denver Nuggets have won 3 of their last 5.

Dallas Mavericks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W116–111HOUHome
W120–96OKCHome
W113–109MIAAway
L106–122SAHome
W121–105INDAway
Denver Nuggets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W127–120PHXAway
W104–91NOAway
L114–134GSHome
W141–135NOHome
L84–96OKCAway

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Dallas Mavericks won 0, Denver Nuggets won 2.

DateDallas MavericksDenver NuggetsWinner
Mar 26135142Denver Nuggets
Jan 15109118Denver Nuggets

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerStatus
Sergio de Larrea FOUT
Santi Aldama FOUT
Tarik Biberovic FOUT
Dereck Lively II COUT
Denver Nuggets
PlayerStatus
Alpha Diallo FOUT
Spencer Jones FOUT
Julian Strawther GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks — model preview

Winning bets for Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets : Dallas Mavericks Over 103.5 Team Total Points (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Dallas Mavericks Over 103.5' for the Team Total Points in the game against Denver Nuggets is statistically driven by the Mavericks' recent scoring performance. Despite a 1-4 record in their last 5 games, the Mavericks have maintained a high scoring average. Their overall average score for the last 5 games is 120.8 points, and at home, it's 117.2 points, both well above the 103.5 total point outcome. Furthermore, the predicted model score of 111.16 for the Mavericks also indicates a likelihood of surpassing the 103.5 point mark. This trend of high-scoring games, even in losses, provides a solid basis for expecting the Mavericks to score over 103.5 points in their match against the Nuggets.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Nuggets vs Mavericks, or as Mavericks vs Nuggets. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 25 Mar 2026Denver Nuggets beat Dallas Mavericks 142-135 at home
  • 14 Jan 2026Denver Nuggets beat Dallas Mavericks 118-109 on the road

Denver Nuggets: last 5 results

  1. 30 Oct 2026Wonat Phoenix Suns 127-120
  2. 28 Oct 2026Wonat New Orleans Pelicans 104-91
  3. 26 Oct 2026Lostvs Golden State Warriors 114-134
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs New Orleans Pelicans 141-135
  5. 22 Oct 2026Lostat Oklahoma City Thunder 84-96

Dallas Mavericks: last 5 results

  1. 30 Oct 2026Wonvs Houston Rockets 116-111
  2. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs Oklahoma City Thunder 120-96
  3. 26 Oct 2026Wonat Miami Heat 113-109
  4. 24 Oct 2026Lostvs San Antonio Spurs 106-122
  5. 23 Oct 2026Wonat Indiana Pacers 121-105

Quick answers

Who won the last Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets game? Denver Nuggets won their last meeting 142-135 on 25 March 2026.

How have Denver Nuggets and Dallas Mavericks done lately? Denver Nuggets won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Dallas Mavericks won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Denver Nuggets 2–0 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 26 Mar 2026, Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets: the Nuggets won 142-135.

DateGameScoreWinner
26 Mar 2026Dallas Mavericks @ Denver Nuggets142–135Denver Nuggets
15 Jan 2026Denver Nuggets @ Dallas Mavericks109–118Denver Nuggets

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