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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Al Horford is Under 14.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 66%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +9.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Al Horford

Boston Celtics

+9.0% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 14.5 -130 (1.77)
+9.0% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Sat 14 Mar, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
65.5%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+9.0%
Predicted Value
11.9 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts65.5%56.5%1.53+9.0%

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AI Analysis

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Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 14.5 Points + Assists (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Warriors and Timberwolves, Al Horford's recent trend points towards a solid opportunity to bet the under on his combined points and assists at 14.5. Over his last five games, Horford has averaged just 9.2 points and a mere 1.4 assists, numbers that don't suggest he'll crack that threshold, especially considering he has only surpassed it in three of his last ten outings. His performance against Minnesota has been equally telling, with an average of just 10.6 points and 3 assists per game. The Timberwolves have been tough defensively, limiting opponents to an average of 8 points and 4 assists in their last five. Given the context of recent games and defensive matchups, it's reasonable to expect Horford to fall short once again, making the under a savvy pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
1.8avg · last 10
L51.8Szn2.1Home2.3Away1.9Best10
2+59%
4+22%
6+3%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.8 · hi 4 · lo 0
0313240014

Al Horford is averaging 1.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.1, best 10). He clears 2+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
9.7avg · last 10
L59.8Szn10.9Home11.4Away10.3Best36
1+100%
6+78%
11+48%
16+20%
21+6%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 9.7 · hi 16 · lo 4
13810981374169

Al Horford is averaging 9.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.9, best 36). He clears 11+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
16.7avg · last 10
L516.0Szn17.1Home17.6Away16.5Best43
7+96%
12+77%
17+45%
22+25%
27+9%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 16.7 · hi 25 · lo 8
2413201614191482514

Al Horford is averaging 16.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.1, best 43). He clears 17+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
7.0avg · last 10
L56.2Szn6.2Home6.2Away6.2Best17
2+99%
4+90%
6+54%
8+29%
10+14%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7 · hi 11 · lo 4
115107667495

Al Horford is averaging 7.0 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.2, best 17). He clears 6+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds 4.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Al Horford (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Al Horford is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Al Horford is Under 14.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors on Saturday 14 March at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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