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NBA

Al Horford

Boston Celtics

+7.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Assists Under 3.5 -172 (1.58)
+7.3% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco
Sat 14 Mar, 2:00AM
Model Probability
70.6%
Implied Probability
63.3%
Model Edge
+7.3%
Predicted Value
2.5 Assists

AI Analysis

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Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 3.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Golden State Warriors and the Minnesota Timberwolves, Al Horford's assist numbers are telling a compelling story. Currently, he's averaging just 1.4 assists in his last five outings, which drops to 2 per game when playing away. This trend becomes even more pronounced against the Timberwolves, where his assists hover around 3. With Minnesota allowing an average of 4 assists to opposing forwards, it's clear that Horford's role within the team isn't primarily as a playmaker right now.Over his last 12 games, he's hit the under in 10 of them, and he's been particularly effective under the radar on the road. Given his recent performance and the Warriors' defensive schemes, taking the under on Horford's assists at 3.5 feels like a savvy move. With an implied probability of 63.3%, this bet not only looks good on paper but aligns perfectly with the current flow of his game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 83.3% (10/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Assists 3.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Assists 3.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Asts 14.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Assists Pending
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Assists Pending
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Assists Pending

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