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The latest Bet Better model pick for Al Horford is Under 3.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +7.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:02AM UTC
NBA

Al Horford

Boston Celtics

+7.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 3.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+7.3% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Sat 14 Mar, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.6%
Implied Probability
63.3%
Model Edge
+7.3%
Predicted Value
2.5 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists70.6%—63.3%1.42+7.3%

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AI Analysis

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Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 3.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Golden State Warriors and the Minnesota Timberwolves, Al Horford's assist numbers are telling a compelling story. Currently, he's averaging just 1.4 assists in his last five outings, which drops to 2 per game when playing away. This trend becomes even more pronounced against the Timberwolves, where his assists hover around 3. With Minnesota allowing an average of 4 assists to opposing forwards, it's clear that Horford's role within the team isn't primarily as a playmaker right now.Over his last 12 games, he's hit the under in 10 of them, and he's been particularly effective under the radar on the road. Given his recent performance and the Warriors' defensive schemes, taking the under on Horford's assists at 3.5 feels like a savvy move. With an implied probability of 63.3%, this bet not only looks good on paper but aligns perfectly with the current flow of his game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
1.8avg · last 10
L51.8Szn2.1Home2.3Away1.9Best10
2+59%
4+22%
6+3%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.8 · hi 4 · lo 0
0313240014

Al Horford is averaging 1.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.1, best 10). He clears 2+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
9.7avg · last 10
L59.8Szn10.9Home11.4Away10.3Best36
1+100%
6+78%
11+48%
16+20%
21+6%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 9.7 · hi 16 · lo 4
13810981374169

Al Horford is averaging 9.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.9, best 36). He clears 11+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
16.7avg · last 10
L516.0Szn17.1Home17.6Away16.5Best43
7+96%
12+77%
17+45%
22+25%
27+9%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 16.7 · hi 25 · lo 8
2413201614191482514

Al Horford is averaging 16.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.1, best 43). He clears 17+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
7.0avg · last 10
L56.2Szn6.2Home6.2Away6.2Best17
2+99%
4+90%
6+54%
8+29%
10+14%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7 · hi 11 · lo 4
115107667495

Al Horford is averaging 7.0 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.2, best 17). He clears 6+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds 4.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Al Horford (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Al Horford is Under 3.5 on Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors on Saturday 14 March at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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