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The latest Bet Better model pick for Al Horford is Under 14.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 66%, implied 57%, edge +8.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 4:32PM UTC
NBA

Al Horford

Boston Celtics

+8.7% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 14.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+8.7% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Sat 14 Mar, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
66 in 100
Predicted
11.9 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 65.5% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +8.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts65.5%—56.8%1.53+8.7%

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AI Analysis

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Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 14.5 Points + Assists (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we eye the matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Minnesota Timberwolves, Al Horford's performance is ripe for a closer look, particularly with his points and assists set at 14.5. Recent trends paint a compelling picture; over the last five games, Horford has averaged just 9.2 points and 1.4 assists, falling significantly short of that threshold. Furthermore, when facing the Timberwolves, he has averaged only 10.6 points and 3 assists, numbers that don't inspire confidence for a breakout performance. The Warriors' defense historically stifles contributions from opposing bigs, evidenced by their last few matchups where they've held players to under their averages. With Horford's recent form and the Warriors' defensive prowess, taking the under seems not just prudent, but a wise play based on the numbers. This one feels like a solid bet to keep him below 14.5 combined points and assists.

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Pick History & Track Record

Al Horford — 2024-25 season averages

Over 69 games in the 2024-25 season, Al Horford averaged 8.8 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists in 28.3 minutes per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 36.3% from three-point range.

8.8
PPG
6.2
RPG
2.1
APG
0.6
SPG
0.9
BPG
28.3
MPG
42.4%
FG%
36.3%
3P%

Al Horford — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Al Horford has played 34.0 minutes per game and started 80% of them.

34.0
MPG (L5)
8.0
PPG (L5)
80%
Started

Al Horford — points hit rate

Al Horford has scored over 12.5 points in 54% of 1138 career games.

o11.561%
o12.554%
o15.534%
o20.512%

Al Horford — home vs away scoring

At home Al Horford averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 8.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
8.4
PPG on the road

Al Horford — scoring by opponent

Al Horford scores most against the MEM, averaging 15.1 points per game in that matchup.

15.1
MEM
13.2
PHX
12.9
MIL
12.8
POR
12.8
MIN
12.2
GS

Al Horford — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Al Horford has averaged 7.9 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ NY38554
10 May@ NY351591
7 Mayvs NY29440
5 Mayvs NY34770
29 Aprvs ORL34964
27 Apr@ ORL35662
25 Apr@ ORL34673
23 Aprvs ORL329101
20 Aprvs ORL25553
11 Aprvs CHA2813110
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds 4.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Al Horford (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Al Horford is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Al Horford is Under 14.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors on Saturday 14 March at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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