Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 3.5 Assists (-172)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs we look ahead to the matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Minnesota Timberwolves, targeting Al Horford to go under 3.5 assists feels like a savvy play. Over the last five games, he's only averaged 1.4 assists, a stark contrast to the 3.5 mark we're focusing on. Even in home games, where he's slightly improved to 2, he hasn't quite hit that threshold. Historical context adds weight to this wager; against the Timberwolves, he's averaged just 3 assists recently, while their defense has limited opponents to an average of 4 assists per game at home. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 games going under and a strong model backing this trend, it's clear that Horford's playmaking role is diminishing. Expect him to fall short of that 3.5 mark, making this bet a compelling choice.