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Model picks & player props
Miami Heat
VS
Philadelphia 76ers

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 1, 2:08PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Indoor
Fri 27 Feb 2026, 12:00AM
15
Game markets graded
12
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Miami Heat Moneyline +130

The model graded 27 markets for Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $230 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 27 Feb 2026, 12:00AM at Wells Fargo Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win76.0%
The price says43.5%
Best price+130
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Miami Heat High76% chance +130
Spread High86% chance —
Spread High84% chance —
Spread High82% chance —
Team Total High98% chance —
Total Points High98% chance —
Total Points High98% chance —
Team Total High98% chance —
Total Points High98% chance —
Rebs + Asts × 3 props Highup to 96% —
Rebounds × 2 props Highup to 77% —
Points × 2 props Highup to 99% —
Pts + Rebs + Asts × 2 props Highup to 64% —
Pts + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 99% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NBA game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Dominick Barlow Under 6.5 · $100 returned $167

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Miami Heat
+130
+ 14 more markets
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All 15 game markets and 12 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,430+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Miami HeatMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami HeatSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami HeatSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami HeatSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Heat

  • Bam Adebayo CDay-to-day
  • Trevor Keels GDay-to-day
  • Ryan Conwell GDay-to-day
  • Myron Gardner FDay-to-day
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo FDay-to-day

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 28, 4:16PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Dominick Barlow Atlanta Hawks Rebs + Asts
Pelle Larsson Miami Heat Rebounds
Davion Mitchell Miami Heat Points
Tyler Herro Miami Heat Rebounds
Davion Mitchell Miami Heat Pts + Rebs + Asts

+ 12 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsMiami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ersNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPhiladelphia 76ers spreadNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) meet Miami Heat; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePhiladelphia 76ers to winNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) host or visit Miami Heat; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Miami Heat; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Miami Heat totalNo line posted

Miami Heat averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers — what the model found

Our model graded 27 betting markets for Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers — 15 on the game itself and 12 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

15
Game markets graded
12
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 27 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 26 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers — recent results

Philadelphia 76ers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Miami Heat have won 2 of their last 5.

Philadelphia 76ers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L114–144NYHome
L94–108NYHome
L102–108NYAway
L98–137NYAway
W109–100BOSAway
Miami Heat — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L126–127CHAAway
W143–117ATLHome
W140–117WSHAway
L114–128TORAway
L95–121TORAway

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Philadelphia 76ers won 1, Miami Heat won 1.

DatePhiladelphia 76ersMiami HeatWinner
Mar 30109119Miami Heat
Feb 27124117Philadelphia 76ers

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerStatus
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDAY-TO-DAY
Miami Heat
PlayerStatus
Bam Adebayo CDAY-TO-DAY
Trevor Keels GDAY-TO-DAY
Ryan Conwell GDAY-TO-DAY
Myron Gardner FDAY-TO-DAY
Giannis Antetokounmpo FDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers — model preview

Deep dive into Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Joel Embiid. Check out NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat stats and odds.

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 4.5 Assists (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the NBA, there's always a chance for a thrilling duel, and we've got our eyes set on Joel Embiid of the Philadelphia 76ers who's been nothing short of spectacular lately. The 76ers' main man has been dishing the rock effectively both at home and overall, averaging 5 assists and 4.8 assists respectively over his last five games. Embiid might have averaged fewer assists against the Heat in the past (3.4), but his recent form suggests a turnaround. He's been hitting the over on this prop in 5 of his last 7 games overall and an impressive 12 out of 17 at home. Given his current form and the 76ers' home-court advantage, we're backing Embiid to go over 4.5 assists against the Heat. It's not just a hunch, it's the numbers speaking volumes. Here's to hoping Embiid keeps serving those dimes!

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Heat vs 76ers, or as 76ers vs Heat. The most recent game between them was Friday 27 February 2026 at Wells Fargo Center. The model has generated 15 game picks and 12 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Mar 2026Philadelphia 76ers @ Miami Heat119–109Miami Heat
27 Feb 2026Miami Heat @ Philadelphia 76ers124–117Philadelphia 76ers
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