Obi Toppin's performance has been consistent, particularly in home games, which supports the bet for Over 14.5. Analyzing his last five games, he's averaged 13.6 points and 5.4 rebounds at home, totaling 19 combined points and rebounds. This is well above the Over 14.5 line set by the bookmaker. Additionally, when specifically facing the Oklahoma City Thunder at home, Toppin's combined average is 19 (13 points and 6 rebounds), again exceeding the set line. Toppin's overall and home hit rates in the last four games are both at 75% (3 out of 4 times), illustrating a strong trend towards hitting the over. These statistics suggest a strong likelihood that Toppin will surpass the 14.5 points + rebounds target in the upcoming game.
Obi Toppin (Indiana Pacers) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Obi Toppin's recent performance data suggests a reasonable chance of hitting Over 14.5 for points and rebounds combined. His average points and rebounds in the last five overall games are 11.4 and 5 respectively, totaling 16.4, which is higher than the outcome point. Furthermore, Toppin's home performance has been stronger, averaging 13.6 points and 5.4 rebounds, totaling 19. Specifically against the Oklahoma City Thunder, Toppin averages 13 points and 6 rebounds at home, a total of 19, again surpassing the outcome point. This trend is supported by his hit rate, with Toppin hitting this mark in three out of his last four games overall and at home. Therefore, the data indicates a good chance of Toppin achieving over 14.5 in points and rebounds in the upcoming game.
Chet Holmgren (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 10.5 Rebounds + Assists (-139)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Chet Holmgren for Under 10.5 in the Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder game is statistically supported by his recent performance data. On average in the last five games, Holmgren's overall rebound and assist totals are 10.6, while his totals in away games are slightly lower at 9.8. His performance specifically against the Indiana Pacers is also lower, with an average of 9.8 rebounds and 0.8 assists in away games. This downward trend in his performance, especially in away games and against this specific opponent, indicates a high likelihood that he will not exceed the 10.5 total in the upcoming game. The hit rate for this outcome in the last 12 games is 75%, and it's 60% in the last five away games, further supporting the under bet.
Luguentz Dort (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 10.5 Points (-132)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Luguentz Dort to score under 10.5 points in the game against the Indiana Pacers is substantiated by a number of key statistics. Firstly, Dort's performance in the last five games shows an average score of 7.8 points, both overall and against this specific opponent. Notably, this average drops even further to 6.2 points when we consider only away games. While his average score against the Pacers in away games is slightly higher at 11.2, it's still close to the line set for this bet. Furthermore, Dort's expected stat value for this match is 9.07, which is substantially under the 10.5 threshold. His under bet has also been successful in the last four games overall and in 10 out of the last 11 away games, indicating a strong trend towards lower scoring performances.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 44.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for Under 44.5 in the Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder game is supported by his recent performance stats. In the last five games, his average points, rebounds, and assists total just 38 (28 points, 4.4 rebounds, 5.6 assists), which is significantly lower than the Outcome Point of 44.5. This trend continues in away games, with his combined average even lower at 36.4. Furthermore, when facing the Pacers, his average total is 38 (28 points, 4.4 rebounds, 5.6 assists), and even at away games against the Pacers, his highest combination is just 42.6 (32.8 points, 6.2 rebounds, 3.6 assists). These statistics indicate a lower likelihood of Gilgeous-Alexander reaching a combined point, rebound, and assist total of 44.5, supporting the Under bet.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 1.5 Threes Made (-167)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to make over 1.5 three-point field goals in the game against Indiana Pacers is driven by his recent performance in away games. On average, he has made 1.2 three-point field goals in the last five away games, which is close to our target of over 1.5. Furthermore, when looking at his performance against the Pacers specifically, he has also averaged 1.2 three-point field goals in the last five away games. This suggests consistency in his three-point shooting, particularly when playing away from home. Although his overall average three-point field goals made is slightly lower (0.8), his performance in away games and against this specific opponent supports the bet. Therefore, the data indicates a favorable chance for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to make over 1.5 three-point field goals in this game.