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Model picks & player props
NBA
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Indoor
Thu 12 Mar 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Boston Celtics
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 10 markets for Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder and backs Over 101.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $118.

1
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Oklahoma City Thunder
over 101.5 points
Over 101.5 Team Total
You bet$10 If it wins$11.80Best price-556
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win91.9%
The price says84.7%

The model graded 10 markets for Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $118 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 12 Mar 2026, 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101.5 High92% chance -556
Assists × 3 props Highup to 98% Members
Rebounds × 1 prop Highup to 79% Members
Pts + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 71% Members
Rebs + Asts × 2 props Highup to 66% Members
Pts + Rebs + Asts × 2 props Highup to 94% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NBA game on today's board →

Boston Celtics and Oklahoma City Thunder last met on Thu 12 Mar 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NBA game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
101.5
-556
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Celtics

  • Devin Carter GDay-to-day
  • Ron Harper Jr. GDay-to-day

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day
  • Chet Holmgren CDay-to-day
  • Jaylin Williams FDay-to-day
  • Kenrich Williams GDay-to-day
  • Alex Caruso GDay-to-day
  • Jared McCain GDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Isaiah Hartenstein CDay-to-day
  • Cason Wallace GDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander GDay-to-day
Availability updated Oct 10, 11:58PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Assists
Isaiah Joe Oklahoma City Thunder Rebounds
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs + Asts

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsBoston Celtics @ Oklahoma City ThunderNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder and Boston Celtics combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOklahoma City Thunder spreadNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) meet Boston Celtics; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder to winNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) host or visit Boston Celtics; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder — what the model found

Our model graded 10 betting markets for Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder — 1 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded
9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 10 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 9 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder — recent results

Oklahoma City Thunder have won 1 of their last 5 games; Boston Celtics have won 2 of their last 5.

Oklahoma City Thunder — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L126–128MILHome
L110–116NOHome
L103–111SAHome
L91–118SAAway
W127–114SAHome
Boston Celtics — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W144–106PHIHome
W124–113CLEAway
L100–109PHIHome
L93–106PHIAway
L97–113PHIHome

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Oklahoma City Thunder won 1, Boston Celtics won 1.

DateOklahoma City ThunderBoston CelticsWinner
Mar 25109119Boston Celtics
Mar 13104102Oklahoma City Thunder

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerStatus
Thomas Sorber CDAY-TO-DAY
Nikola Topic GDAY-TO-DAY
Chet Holmgren CDAY-TO-DAY
Jaylin Williams FDAY-TO-DAY
Kenrich Williams GDAY-TO-DAY
Alex Caruso GDAY-TO-DAY
Jared McCain GDAY-TO-DAY
Ajay Mitchell GDAY-TO-DAY
Boston Celtics
PlayerStatus
Devin Carter GDAY-TO-DAY
Ron Harper Jr. GDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder — model preview

Winning bets for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Chet Holmgren. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics stats and odds.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics : Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101.5 Team Total Points (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been playing some high-scoring basketball lately, which is why this bet looks enticing. Despite our models predicting a slightly lower score, the Thunder have been surpassing expectations, often topping 101.5 points. Historically, they've shown an ability to put up big numbers, especially when playing on home soil. The Celtics, on the other hand, have been struggling defensively on the road, which could see the Thunder capitalizing on their weak defense and exploiting any gaps. Considering the Thunder's scoring prowess and the Celtics' defensive shortcomings, it's easy to see why a bet on the Thunder to score over 101.5 points has great potential. It's a case of current form and historical performance data combining to suggest a higher probability of the Thunder breaking the 101.5 point barrier.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Celtics vs Thunder, or as Thunder vs Celtics. The most recent game between them was Thursday 12 March 2026 at Paycom Center. The model has generated 1 game pick and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Wed 25 Mar 2026, Oklahoma City Thunder at Boston Celtics: the Celtics won 119-109.

DateGameScoreWinner
25 Mar 2026Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics119–109Boston Celtics
13 Mar 2026Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder104–102Oklahoma City Thunder
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