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Model picks & player props
Boston Celtics
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 6:42PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Indoor
Fri 13 Mar 2026, 1:30AM
13
Game markets graded
9
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 101.5 Team Total -588

The model graded 22 markets for Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $117 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 13 Mar 2026, 1:30AM at Paycom Center.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win91.9%
The price says85.5%
Best price-588
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Over 101.5 High92% chance -588
Assists × 3 props Highup to 98% —
Rebounds × 1 prop Highup to 79% —
Pts + Asts × 1 prop Highup to 71% —
Rebs + Asts × 2 props Highup to 66% —
Pts + Rebs + Asts × 2 props Highup to 94% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Over
101.5
-588
+ 12 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Celtics

  • Jayson Tatum FDay-to-day

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Isaiah Hartenstein CDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day
Availability updated Aug 18, 7:24PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Assists
Isaiah Joe Oklahoma City Thunder Rebounds
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts
Cason Wallace Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Rebs + Asts

+ 9 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsBoston Celtics @ Oklahoma City ThunderNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder and Boston Celtics combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOklahoma City Thunder spreadNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) meet Boston Celtics; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder to winNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) host or visit Boston Celtics; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder — what the model found

Our model graded 22 betting markets for Boston Celtics at Oklahoma City Thunder — 13 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

13
Game markets graded
9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 22 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 21 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder — recent results

Oklahoma City Thunder have won 2 of their last 5 games; Boston Celtics have won 2 of their last 5.

Oklahoma City Thunder — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L103–111SAHome
L91–118SAAway
W127–114SAHome
L82–103SAAway
W123–108SAAway
Boston Celtics — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L100–109PHIHome
L93–106PHIAway
L97–113PHIHome
W128–96PHIAway
W108–100PHIAway

Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Oklahoma City Thunder won 1, Boston Celtics won 1.

DateOklahoma City ThunderBoston CelticsWinner
Mar 25109119Boston Celtics
Mar 13104102Oklahoma City Thunder

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerStatus
Isaiah Hartenstein CDAY-TO-DAY
Ajay Mitchell GDAY-TO-DAY
Otega Oweh GDAY-TO-DAY
Thomas Sorber CDAY-TO-DAY
Jalen Williams GDAY-TO-DAY
Nikola Topic GDAY-TO-DAY
Boston Celtics
PlayerStatus
Jayson Tatum FDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder — model preview

Winning bets for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Chet Holmgren. Explore NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics stats and odds.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics : Oklahoma City Thunder Over 101.5 Team Total Points (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been playing some high-scoring basketball lately, which is why this bet looks enticing. Despite our models predicting a slightly lower score, the Thunder have been surpassing expectations, often topping 101.5 points. Historically, they've shown an ability to put up big numbers, especially when playing on home soil. The Celtics, on the other hand, have been struggling defensively on the road, which could see the Thunder capitalizing on their weak defense and exploiting any gaps. Considering the Thunder's scoring prowess and the Celtics' defensive shortcomings, it's easy to see why a bet on the Thunder to score over 101.5 points has great potential. It's a case of current form and historical performance data combining to suggest a higher probability of the Thunder breaking the 101.5 point barrier.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as Celtics vs Thunder, or as Thunder vs Celtics. The most recent game between them was Friday 13 March 2026 at Paycom Center. The model has generated 13 game picks and 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
25 Mar 2026Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics119–109Boston Celtics
13 Mar 2026Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder104–102Oklahoma City Thunder
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